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early birds
Posted on: Yesterday, 05:21 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

now i found what exc said
I am mobilizing all federal and local resources, civilian and military, to protect the rights of law abiding Americans, Trump said, citing the Insurrection Act of 1807. Today I have strongly recommended to every governor to deploy the National Guard in sufficient numbers that we dominate the streets. Mayors and governors must establish an overwhelming presence until the violence is quelled.

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/trump-thr...1?mod=home-page

if he just shut his big mouth and deploy the army to end this riots quick and smart. than he has the chance to get re-elected.IMHO

remember that NIKE adds?? ---JUST DO IT!!

  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: Yesterday, 05:01 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/world/trump-...sts/ar-BB14TD3s

As we speak, I am dispatching thousands and thousands of heavily armed soldiers, military personnel, and law enforcement officers to stop the rioting, looting, vandalism, assaults, and the wanton destruction of property," he said. "We will end it now."
============

i reckon he is 100% right on this.

but----this article didn't get all out![[ it's problem with media]


the shit part is he said more than that. something like asking "private people to arm themself to hit those lefties" !
that's pit people of USA against each other . and the USA have really loose gun laws. asking for civil war or what????????? unsure.gif

he is gone mad!!!! i guess he will do his ass in alone with chance of RP to win the next election again.

what a world we living in?? thumbdown.gif

  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: Yesterday, 01:01 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://edition.cnn.com/videos/politics/202...op-news-videos/

Police chief to Trump: If you can't be constructive, keep your mouth shut

----------------------

the land of freeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee!

  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: Yesterday, 09:26 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/here-are-...1?mod=home-page


interesting
Domino pizza is in the "over bought" bunch from GS . i for one always disagree that Domino is a tech Co. but after covid-19. seems markets have it the right. the share price move at least!!

  Forum: Investment Discussion

early birds
Posted on: Yesterday, 09:19 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

market trend is still up

from now on that US market will under perform other major market ....esp EU and Japs market, no matter of the direction---[up or down ] so a relatively safe bet is the pair trade IMHO

asx200 looks set to flight again today, but i'm not really confident with it atm. still think of 6000 this week if market around world can hold up in face of the unrest in USA.

too much money printed already, and most of Govt. and CENTRAL BANKS gonna print more..................it's reality! weirdsmiley.gif
savers will be punished time again!! sadsmiley02.gif

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Jun 1 2020, 11:22 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

shorts on SPX is under water, but made good bucks on hk -h share index[ didn't expecting that market to be fire up]
but good surprise i guess. didn't buy enough longs in EU market,

not too bad so far.... little by little i guess!!

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Jun 1 2020, 09:10 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

took few shorts with SPX so far
will buy few longs from EU or Japs index later on!!

not sure how SPX can still stay above 3000?? thought it will drop 100 point when it's future opens! unsure.gif




  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Jun 1 2020, 09:05 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

it's ok H

i guess i just talk to myself!! make more meaningless posts to make up the number!! wink.gif

"Peta credlin" i should typ. . a luuuvly luuvely lady who can have huge influence in this country!!

  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: Jun 1 2020, 01:12 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/world/chines...ong/ar-BB14Qnb9

US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi once called the violent protests in Hong Kong 'a beautiful sight to behold.'... US politicians now can enjoy this sight from their own windows," Hu Xijin, editor-in-chief of nationalist tabloid Global Times, wrote Saturday.



"I can't breathe," she said on Twitter, with a screenshot of a tweet by US State Department spokeswoman Morgan Ortagus that had criticised the Chinese government over its Hong Kong policy.

====================================

do you guys believe in karma????
to me it is funnier to think of a gangster point finger at a robber cool.gif


========================
https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/australia/ab...ica/ar-BB14PBjw

The young blonde reporter interviewed protesters throughout the morning, some of whom were angered by her questioning.

-----------------------

why bother-----this is how this country's media acts spme loves Credlin type ......don't want to say more to upsets people here.
  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: May 31 2020, 01:22 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/05/30/protests-an...orge-floyd.html

the riots in USA getting worse throught he weekend.

come Monday

there is a trade will have good chance to win-------------short US market, long EU market or long JAPs market.

world is in chaotic and trump make it worse. this is the point where US market will under performing other major market likes of EU Japs.
IMHO

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: May 30 2020, 12:03 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/05/29/trump-takin...-hong-kong.html

I am directing my administration to begin the process of eliminating policy exemptions that give Hong Kong different and special treatment, Trump said during a Rose Garden event at the White House.

My announcement today will affect the full range of agreements that we have with Hong Kong, from our extradition treaty, to our export controls and technologies, Trump said. We will take action to revoke Hong Kongs preferential treatment as a separate customs and travel territory from the rest of China.

=================

market took this news well, and it seems not worse than they thought!! cool.gif

trumpie want to do this long ago------he can get more tax dollar from HK.
it's "chinks vs chinks" what hell is he care??? weirdsmiley.gif poor HK people will suffer!!

back to markets

asx200 will rally again when monday comes. i suspect it will reach 6000ish next week.IMHO. hold on tight for the ride!!

i had few longs for h share index [it cost little to hold them] .



  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: May 30 2020, 11:53 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

my feeling is similar to these mobs, feel like to joint these riots that can release my own anger that trapped in me over a month!! weirdsmiley.gif

H
glad to see you guys get on with lives......enjoy it while you can.
i'm just a sad ass..........feel lost. hopeless!! wink.gif

  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: May 29 2020, 09:57 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://au.yahoo.com/news/reporter-covering...-113232983.html

A CNN reporter covering the Minneapolis protests over the death of black man in custody was arrested live on air by riot police.

=============================

free speech man!!! lmaosmiley.gif WTF!!

it is a chaotic world out there. i just hope that USA CHINA RUSSIA ALL START TO USE NUKE BOMB... finish earth once for all. than these BS will be stopped!! cool.gif
yeah....i know i'm too dark!!!

  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: May 29 2020, 09:42 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

President Donald Trump appears poised to sign a measure passed by Congress which would target Chinese officials for abusing the human rights of the country's Muslim minority. In a parallel move, Trump told reporters he's preparing to announce new polices on China in response to Beijing's imposition of national security legislation on Hong Kong.

-------------------------

these kids roaming on the HK streets for few moths last year ----stormed airport , blocked subway, disturbed streets,violently . at trumpies or righties eye are bunch of freedom fighters that supported by CIA.
but the same shitty in USA is thugs , looters. needs to be shoot at..

i always say to people-----chinese commies and westen govts. their all the same. as english says----"same shit different smell"!! above is perfect example . thumbdown.gif

yep, human rights-----------------or what hell is it????????????????????

  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: May 29 2020, 06:48 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://au.news.yahoo.com/madonna-divides-o...-073916404.html

ha,, someone finally point out of where the problem is!!!!

looting-----------shooting.

WTF

  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: May 29 2020, 11:03 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/05/28/trumps-chin...to-beijing.html

sound ----worse is yet to come for the market!!

  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: May 29 2020, 10:37 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

my last post says hit through 5500 then target 5800---6000 for asx200

now it is at 5800ish

the run up with US market is with flood of money supply , not economy. so seems that market will cool down, that might drag asx200 little lower from current level

my short term target for s&p is 2890 if not hold there then 2750 is the support.

as for asx200 5525ish is the big support. if it goes to there it will drag down mainly by the miners ---IMHO

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: May 29 2020, 10:27 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

Mick holding this site.

i still filthy myself that i let my guard down ----blindly trust the broker that with me over 15 years.

i don't have much to offer for the trading ideas these days. only to upset you guys with my lefty views.
so i thought i better shut my mouth{ keyboard] just read you guys.

i'm gonna working little hard to claw out the shit holes that i'm in atm. instead of pity myself and wingy.
will try to post little more often with my "big trading idea". weirdsmiley.gif

  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: May 27 2020, 10:16 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

sadsmiley02.gif

not only CCP shows the true colours these days, USA dose it as well so as most of others.
the world is in a chaos, the confrontation is really heats up to a danger level.
worry about the fights gonna breakout soon!!

keep going ...till nuke bomb been used, and destroy the earth once for all. then we all can have a good rest----forever!!

  Forum: Investment Discussion

early birds
Posted on: May 27 2020, 08:28 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/coronavirus/...ity/ar-BB14DhOd

Xi added that it was necessary to make preparations for military struggle, "to flexibly carry out actual combat military training, and to comprehensively improve our military's ability to carry out military missions".

==========================================

keep going.................... cold war???? the possibility of a hot war is increased big time IMHO.
may be i'm too pessimistic !!!


  Forum: Investment Discussion

early birds
Posted on: May 26 2020, 11:09 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

you hit nail nipper
i guess if keeps going like that we will all stuffed one way or the other.

i still try to claw my way out of my own hole. i'm tryyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy it.

  Forum: Investment Discussion

early birds
Posted on: May 22 2020, 09:55 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.afr.com/world/asia/china-moves-...20200522-p54vjm

the nightmare situation happens step by step.

that is what happen when you try to corner a animal whom with sharp claws and teeth.
when chinese dosen't have any more incentive to keep current states quot , then, first HONG KONG, next is Tawan.
and USA gonna intervene, then war break out between US and China.....then there will be nuke bomb......
bleak picture?? the possibility is increased big time now.

Mick will be happy with his gold and silver holding!!

  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: May 22 2020, 01:00 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

nipper
why my IM box not working anymore?? i guess i should ask admin .
what about your IM box nipper?? unsure.gif

kinda strange.... it was working all the times before.
  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: May 20 2020, 05:31 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

thanks for the support guys.
not try to pity myself ............... sorts, just feel should let you guys know what is going on with me been suddenly quiet .

the bitness with the event that really got me this time, because was hit by really unexpected direction. that really hurting....
not trading much last few weeks-----just to lick the wound and breath

anyway
i will try to pick myself up................ as there is no other way for me to keep going

i see you guys doing good, that is good thing!!

  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: May 20 2020, 11:17 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

hi guys
Thanks Mick to showing your care on my IM box


reason i went quiet is funny one.


Nipper ,I guess you still remember i said i'. gonna smash my piggy bank to go for the oil. i really did
i calculate everything the risk ..the margin eg........ thought i got my self covered on every corner
you know what????? my CFD broker screwed me after i've been with them over 15 years........
i know May contract finished at usd -37/b a lot of speculaters lost their shirt. but i got my self covered .......
i don't want to talk about what i'm going through, still hurtful
Mick , i guess you are around farmer place a lot of time. next time you see a heavyly wondered animal hiding at back of the shade and keep licking it's wond, you just think of EB has been last few weeks.
it's not just money that i losted. the real punch is my " last chance to get myself supper rich again" dream been shutted by the least possible that happened to me.......

i will try to talk to you guys, from time to time as i try to recover [[not sure i could , after after what they did to me] sadsmiley02.gif

i love you guys. even i'm not always agree with ya.
  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: Apr 21 2020, 10:11 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

never shoot the messenger like you.

give you my thoughts
we all know months ago when a lot of countries close their boards, all get idea of lock down can do the job. the result of that is reduce demand of oil in big way.
my bet on the long side is based on produce price. thought if oil keeps low price longer than a month then there will be a lot of drillers bites the dust, so that will get demand and supplies to a balance level so the oil price will correcting itself to the up side. but -40/b on the eve of expiry day is really extreme, although i know long time ago that if you trade oil at chicage mercantile exchange you might end up with physical stuff that delivered to your back yard and you gonna pay the delivery fees. that is the reason that see traders pay someone to take the hot potatoes out of their hands as US run out of contango.
to me it's just technical issues. and it will force US shale to stop drilling in short term. that will get supply/demand back to reasonable ---kinda normal situation.

i smashed piggy bank to bought heaps more at CMC market at it cash traded under usd$8/00ish, now it back above usd$9ish. think it will pay me within two months time or even really short term.
i made sure that i have enough margins to hold it for two months no matter how low the price will go. just to make sure that i'm out of this trade with profit.

thanks for the info nipper!! i really do!!

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Apr 21 2020, 01:05 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/04/20/june-oil-fu...tive-price.html

The May contract traded at $1.17 per barrel, after earlier trading at negative $14.04 per barrel, meaning traders would effectively pay to have the oil taken off their hands. As the contract approaches expiration, trading volume is typically thin, so longer-term contracts can be more indicative of how Wall Street views the price of oil. The most active contract, for June delivery, traded 7.29% higher at $21.92 per barrel. The July and August contracts were also firmly above the $20 level.


“Even as OPEC++ oil production cuts are set to kick in May 1, and supply and inventories should tighten significantly in 2H′20, the next 4-6 weeks are seeing severe storage distress, likely to drive wild price realizations and unusual disconnects, including supercontango and negative prices,” Citi analysts led by Eric Lee wrote in a note to clients Monday.

===============================

indeed , "Volatility. and a real shake out."!!

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Apr 21 2020, 11:15 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-04-20/coro...corded/12163538

It's the lowest number of new infections since four were recorded in the 24 hours to 8:00pm on March 10 and brings the total number of cases in Australia's worst-hit coronavirus state to 2,963.

NSW chief medical officer Kerry Chant said almost 3,500 people were tested for COVID-19 yesterday

=============================

only 4 case with 3500 tested.
C'mon, we will be there [to zero] soon.

  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: Apr 21 2020, 11:08 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

ok, my apology, forgive me guys. i'm might be too sensitive at this extraordinary time
i'm not as cool as i use to be. my bad!!


back to the oil price, something has to give, i reckon this time there will be more US driller go bust and they might stop over 90% rigs for shale just to get through this extreme price dive.
to get oil price back to usd$20 within two months is still a big possibility to me. but as i hold heaps of it. it's clear that i'm really biased .
so DYOR please. before you make a long trade!!

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Apr 21 2020, 10:29 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.afr.com/world/north-america/can...20200421-p54lm3

In less than half an hour of stunning trading early on Tuesday (AEST), traders crashed the May WTI to an unprecedented minus $US37.63 a barrel.

There is no price they can pay to store it, or they are totally inexperienced in this game and are caught holding a contract they did not understand."


A decline of over 15 per cent in the June contract price points to real worries that the physical stress will continue to reverberate, and will force a lot more production shutdowns during May than the ones announced so far."

"So today negative prices are the reflection of dire market conditions for producers, with the hope that demand restart before the middle of May and that the June contract does not face the same fate."

===================

cash price at CMC market is at usd$ 12.00ish, so i'm still above water, seems have to dig more money to hold them to make profit out of it. yoday is Tuesday not as sure as i bought heaps at usd$14ish. but still think it could shoots up in few sessions

had funny feeling that people here happy to see me lose money, kinda strange!! weirdsmiley.gif



  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Apr 20 2020, 07:04 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

Virgin bites the dust

NSW vs QLD on that as well.............. lmaosmiley.gif
not sure what's next........#



  Forum: Investment Discussion

early birds
Posted on: Apr 20 2020, 04:50 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.afr.com/policy/health-and-educa...20200420-p54lbg

This tends to suggest that Australia had a pre-shutdown Reff well below that seen in most other parts of the world. Various factors have been suggested – housing density, social norms and behaviours, warmer weather, open-air lifestyle, quality of water and sanitation, general levels of health and wellbeing, availability and quality of health care – which no doubt will be the subject of countless future research papers by epidemiologists.
---------------- that's lucky i guess!!

The greatest risk we now face is that community confidence has been shot and fear is widespread. This review of the past tells a much better story than anybody in Australia would believe today. The truth is we appear to have relatively strong natural defences to the virus, are well placed to soon restart the economy, and Australians should be a lot more confident going about their daily lives than they are at the moment.
-------------------------- i guess a lot of people have the confident , but Govt. keeps try scare the crap out of us. what can we do??? weirdsmiley.gif


if i see the zero case in NSW i'll walk out door freely, even i get fines !!!

  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: Apr 20 2020, 01:31 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

nipper

isaw the price dropped to near usd$14 ish, and i jumped in added huge load longs with CFD s. we could see few more US shale bites the dust soon .
i prepare enough margins for the WTI price under 10 bucks. and hold shit load oil atm. i reckon 90% chance i'm gonna make good money in very short term-----time frame of one week from today
today is first day of front month contract . so we can see crazy moves for the WTI. if price to stay this low for longer, a lot of driller will go bust and brings the supplies and demands in balance .

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Apr 20 2020, 10:30 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/coronavirus/...&ocid=wispr

Health authorities in NSW have confirmed just six new coronavirus infections, taking the state's total to 2,963.

It's the lowest number of new infections since four were recorded in the 24 hours to 8:00pm on March 10.

NSW Chief Medical Officer Dr Kerry Chant said almost 3,500 people were tested for COVID-19 yesterday and said she hoped testing would continue to increase.

=============================

not far from zero......... good news!!

  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: Apr 19 2020, 01:47 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.wenxuecity.com/news/2020/04/18/9374693.html
it is a translatted article

i hope some of you guys can open the link for the original one

https://www.flickr.com/photos/citytree/8767...in/photostream/
i can't open it without give my details ...............
should be good read i reckon....it is a guy from Isreal whom gave fair study of after math of this crisis what's gonna happen to the "new world" !! interesting.

  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: Apr 19 2020, 11:53 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

I don't think there'll be any compulsion to use the new app

===================

yeah, no compulsion! that is right!!! but" if you don't use it then there will be 6 months lockdown " simple!! we have to choose between the two regardless of the new case is nearly zero now!!

here is another polie's [ he is another arsshole i guess] comments

--------
I treasure the government knowing as little about me as possible," Mr Joyce told Nine newspapers today.

"Australia is doing an extraordinary job of flattening the curve by reason that we are overwhelmingly decent and logical people. We don't need an app to tell us that."
-------------------
https://www.9news.com.au/national/coronavir...58-3d08cda9c364

  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: Apr 19 2020, 10:55 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/australia/ho...&ocid=wispr

Mr Turnbull writes. 'Scott is a control freak and I'd seen before ... how he'd publicly vote one way while ensuring his supporters voted the other way.

=================

i don't usually believe polie's words, but i kinda believe Scomo is a "control freak" as he try to control us now----threaten us to down load the tracing app then he use it for a lot of other things for him to clinching powers. imho he went too far this time!!
only chinese commies forced their peoples down load the app , they are the ones that successfully use " mobile tracing" tech [ my brother told me that if you don't have that app bar code no one will serve you in shanghai].

  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: Apr 18 2020, 08:23 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.afr.com/chanticleer/lethal-viru...20200417-p54kq5

The lesson from China is to not necessarily apply investment fundamentals to share investments but simply to watch and understand what the government wants.

=========================

i share the similar view to this article.

i'm prepare to buckle down after this virus crisis is over.... it is big possible that china will be isolated by most of the world that lead by USA. and aussies will face more of the short term pain since we exported most of our stuff to china.......from iron ore to education eg......

we all try to make our self to adept new environment !!!!

  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: Apr 18 2020, 04:25 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

hey Roger

how do you find this link?? lmaosmiley.gif ........... really made me laugh. they made film 2018?? sound like they just made it now.

other readers
if we we down load the app Govt. will know where ever we are going---that is the fact, the question is should we give up our privacy to so called "risks".????
if we can decide ourselfs that would be reasonable... but i don't like been threatened esp by our PM " restriction won't be relaxed unless you down load tracing app"
WTF..................

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-04-18/two-...in-nsw/12161294

In the last 24 hours, 10 new infections were confirmed, bringing the total number of cases in the state to 2,936, with half of those in people under 40.

Yesterday 5,152 people across NSW were tested for COVID-19, which Mr Hazzard lauded as a "dramatic" increase compared to the 1,305 tests undertaken six days ago.

==================
IF i meant if we have zero case for a week by next week, do we still need to down load the app to exchange for restriction to be loosen up????????????????
what scomo said on TV " poicy will be there for another month, if there isn't enough peoples use tracing app then lock down will be there for 6 months"
why the heck we elected these bunch of arssholes [ i voted them my self]. they can go and get $%^&--------[a aussie solute to him and his team]. angry.gif

  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: Apr 17 2020, 07:17 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

The Government has said the app, if successful, could lead to an early easing of social-distancing restrictions.

=============
Mick
i guess you didn't pay attention to what scomo said on TV yesterday. my eyes were wide open and my ears pined back here is what he said

---
https://7news.com.au/lifestyle/health-wellb...s-ease-c-980428
Testing regime
Tracing capability
Local response
---------------
i'm sure CMO gave many advise to scomo. he just take what he likes it that include "tracing capability"!
feels like been threatened by our PM.
my brother told me that china using this "tracing" to control people there [some funny stories he told me lmaosmiley.gif ]

i'm angry as you about this "tracing" thingy. if we give up this , not sure what's next come out at us........... : weirdsmiley.gif

next time i rather pay $50 fine for not voting.

  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: Apr 17 2020, 03:39 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/rapid-rec...6?mod=home-page

According to Stat, 125 people with COVID-19 receiving care at the University of Chicago are participating in two Phase 3 clinical trials conducted by Gilead; 113 of them have severe forms of the disease. Stat said it obtained a recorded video discussion about the trial among University of Chicago faculty members in which a physician said when some people start taking the drug, fevers come down and some come off ventilators.

===============================

i saw that Co. had similar promise in china over a month ago. a lot of peoples used drugs there, as i can record but i don't have the end result!!

if the drug they find it, is the real cure for the virus, their stock price won't just go up 18% gonna be more than 18 times ..........

hope it works !!! so everyone can have free breath.. i don't have to give scomo my mobile trace to exchange my freedom......
and market and economy will have V --shape as some say.....

  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: Apr 17 2020, 11:29 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

wish you could posted this yesterday, when we needed most.

anyway, it's better than nothing. thanks anyway!!

now that asx200 is firmly above 5500---the key level. the next target should be 5800ish then 6000. IMHO

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Apr 17 2020, 11:25 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.afr.com/world/asia/it-was-like-...20200416-p54hyf

Like most Chinese people we are very obedient. We listen to what the government and media say. That's why we didn't take preventive measures. We had no idea it would develop so quickly.

===========================

no idea of this shit developed so fast????????? most of normal peoples around world all have no ideas !!

soon enough every group of peoples around world will start to trade barbs, finger pointing , blame....eg.. cool.gif

to me
this virus promotes dictatorship from chinese commies to trumpie to scomo's
they used one thing " fear of death from every day people".

  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: Apr 17 2020, 10:29 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/04/16/sp-500-etf-...oronavirus.html

thought this drug been tested in china earlier when virus breakout in china. human trail been done in there now. so FDA have enough data to prove this drug can cure the virus?? unsure.gif
hope it works, so we all can get out of prison cell.......

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Apr 16 2020, 04:17 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

my shorts on SPX still in the money [2799]
what should i do close it out on 2799 if it hit tonight or hold it?? unsure.gif
i don't have bias , only try to make a buck here and there., seems SPX wouldn't drop down over 2750, still have two session to go to weekend.

if you can provide some TA support that would be great!! tongue.gif

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Apr 16 2020, 10:27 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://au.yahoo.com/news/coronavirus-new-m...-223331837.html

finally , we have a map to trace the hot spots... after few weeks lock down..

even it is so late, but better than we don't have it i guess!! why everything happens so slow here. i thought it isn't a hard thing to do and it is really useful for every day peoples.

anyway, my winging aside....we have a good guide now
given the rate dropping speed we will be loosen up soon enough. i'm hopeful!!

  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: Apr 15 2020, 09:01 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

it failed to close it above 5500 for the cash market. a really bearish sign to me.
we might see major market have some sorta down ward pressure next two session [[ to the weekend].

take some profit if one in the long position this far. take shorts if you are a aggressive trader like me[ more of mug trader i guess blush.gif ]

shorted SPX this far. see how it goes.... think it will pay me on Friday..

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Apr 13 2020, 03:07 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/coronavirus/...&ocid=wispr


NSW's total number of COVID-19 cases reached 2854 on Sunday, after just seven new cases were diagnosed over 24 hours while testing dropped significantly over Easter.

============================

only 7 cases----because of less testing!!!!!!! i just hope if it is the case of normal testing and get just under 10 cases then to zero in few days

it isn't a wishful thinking at current rate isn't it??!!!

  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: Apr 11 2020, 09:00 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/coronavirus/...&ocid=wispr

In Sydney, particularly in the Northern Beaches and Bondi, hundreds of people were seen ignoring 'beach closed' signs, designed to stop the areas becoming a crowded COVID-19 hotspot.

================

as Mick said " there is no cure" !!! devilsmiley.gif

FREEEEEEEEEEEEDOOOOOOOOOM!!!
  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: Apr 11 2020, 06:59 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

SPX level to watch next week

---------------
Price action has retraced 50% from the highs of February 20th to the lows on March 23rd! If price gets a daily close above 2800, there is no reason price can’t run to 2900. However, from here the market has work to do. Between 2900 and 3000 there are 2 levels of horizontal resistance, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level from the previously mentioned time frame, and the 200 Day Moving Average. One can even argue that the S&P 500 has broken out of a pennant formation and targets 2980! If price can’t push higher, support is lower at previous resistance near 2640. Below that support is at the bottom of the pennant near 2435. This will be a very important chart to watch as the direction of equities contributes to the direction of so many assets, such as bonds, commodities, and the US Dollar.

---------------------------

DYOR as always!!

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Apr 10 2020, 10:05 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

i use to really hate go out shopping with my mis, women always picky and choicy window shopping type, winge winge ..........[ sorry ladies]
but today i went out with my mis to buy the need for home for two hours. and i feel really good, and try to stay in the shopper longer[ with face mask and gloves]---that is the lock down effects that got me.

"i just gotta get out of this prison cell, one day i'm gonna be free lord..."
i keep singing singing it....................

wish you cope it well nipper.
i'm not the really outdoor kind. but somehow feel depressed by this freedom stripping lock down. i can see the big change in me. even my wife and my boy try to calm me down some times. bit of nuts!!
esp the time there is no market ........ sadsmiley02.gif

pray for zero positive soon ..even i don't have religious .

  Forum: Investment Discussion

early birds
Posted on: Apr 10 2020, 09:10 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

got plenty time to read

find this is interesting article, a good writing at least to say....

https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/how-th...20200403-p54gml

it does make me think!!

  Forum: Investment Discussion

early birds
Posted on: Apr 10 2020, 07:59 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kijpcUv-b8M

"get me out of prison cell,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,"

  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: Apr 9 2020, 10:27 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

think asx200 will be finished on strong note this week
but TA base i'm still focus on 5500 the key res.... that would be the tell tale for me.......
  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Apr 9 2020, 10:23 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

it is really hard for peoples stay at home lost most of freedom in this country , it is really hard.....i thought i can cope it easy, but...... many are sneak out at middle of night when they think "cops all went sleep" eg....

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/04/08/bill-gates-...oronavirus.html

To understand what life in the U.S. will look like six to 12 months from now, Gates suggested China as a good model. “They are sending people back to work, but they’re wearing masks. They’re checking temperatures. They’re not doing large sporting events. And so they have been able to avoid a large rebound,” he said.

===================

china just try to open up, and the risk of rebound is there . if it happens it will undo the huge effort they put in this far.....
i for one think their try to open up too early................. it's just me though.

  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: Apr 8 2020, 11:28 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/pm-pla...20200407-p54hqp

Australia's rate of infections and deaths is so low that there is not yet a sufficient database to forecast Australia-specific rates of spread and mortality rates but that will be the focus of future modelling efforts.

One of the modellers, Melbourne University professor James McCaw, said Australia could be at the peak of its infection rate.

Mr Morrison said these early gains in slowing the spread must be locked in.

"This Easter weekend will be incredibly important. Stay at home. Failure to do so this weekend would completely undo everything we have achieved so far together, and potentially worse,'' he said.

The government is operating on a basis that the nation has to learn to live with the virus because the economy needs to restart before a vaccine will be found.

=============================

i sorta think of 0 infected people will be the stats soon. . i'm day dreaming................. ohmy.gif
  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: Apr 8 2020, 10:01 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.afr.com/world/asia/wuhan-lockdo...20200407-p54hu4

The formal end to the 76-day lockdown at midnight (Wednesday 2am AEST) was the first opportunity for thousands of people - including some Australians - trapped in the city since January, to leave.

The easing of restrictions since authorities started reporting zero new infections in mid-March appears to be aimed at allowing workers to return to factories in the key Chinese manufacturing hub, rather than giving all of its residents freedom of movement.

"I can still only leave my apartment once every three days to go shopping in the convenience store in my compound," Ms Chen, an English teacher, told The Australian Financial Review by telephone.

"I still can't leave my compound. I'm surprised at how strict it still is."

..

Doctors in the city said many cases went under-reported because hospitals were overwhelmed at the time. Images released last week of thousands of funeral urns appeared to suggest the number of death exceeded the official figures.

...
Wang Zhonglin, the Communist Party secretary for Wuhan, said it was too early to relax, and authorities would continue community-based monitoring. There are growing fears in China about patients who do not show any symptoms and many people travelling out of Wuhan to other parts of China are expected to be quarantined for 14 days in their homes or hotels.

Many of the 17 trains fro Wuhan to Shanghai for the next three days were booked out.

China reported 32 new cases, all of them imported, on Tuesday. Many of those were Chinese citizens returning from Russia.

==========================================

thought we are see the light at end of tunnel............... seems lock down will with us for some times to come. sadsmiley02.gif


  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: Apr 6 2020, 04:50 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.afr.com/policy/economy/low-inte...20200406-p54he6

Central bank policy will see a great transfer of wealth from savers to borrowers, and from the old to the young

===============
not just central banks, all major govts doing it as well.
sad part is a lot of them are "liberals"whom suppose to promote "capitalism" that includes ScotMo.

if we come out of this, i swear i'll borrow as much as i could!!!!!!

  Forum: Investment Discussion

early birds
Posted on: Apr 6 2020, 09:43 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

i know i start to close to "insane" bunch by this lock down. start to posting extreme stuff.

now i'm gonna say something about this wage subsidy by scotmo.

time like this, Govt. come in gives helping hand is a good thing. buy my thoughts is the subsidy is too generous.
you have renters not to pay rent for six months----so if you lost job you don't have to pay rent for six months and still have place to sleep
then do we need give $750'w for people feed thenself. i reckon $400'w is more than enough.
so Govt. can keep about half of the subsidy money
this money can be use for subsidy or incentive for people making face masks ..gums... a sowing machine and fabric and few other things with heavy subsidy from Govt, sure some will start the biz over night if they see the money they can make. heavy subsidy to some someone can convert their production line to make methos or other hand senitizer list goes on to get some of our production line back and people willing to do the job and earn good living..... not just sit at home and get 100% wage from scotmo govt.
this subsidy really disappointed me----i reckon they really owes a apologies to Krudd and Wayne swan for what they doing now... cool.gif
they are liberals and come up with this commie style money spreading.
to me what they acting under current crisis just like bunch of panic monkeys whom heard crisis sirens
what we need now is visionary leaders who can steer us through this extraordinary time and really look after our citizens and our economy now and future, rebuild australia that is less dependent supplies from out side----------china now india later or indonissia ...what ever.

i know some of you guys not agree with my view. wellcome to debate this . i'm all ear. lock inside have not much to do.
i really thought i can lock myself in longer than Mick. but i start to look at "volumteer" work as excuse to get out.......... sadsmiley02.gif don't F"£$% laugh at me. i'm shamed myself to tell people i'm born in shanghai
i think i catched aussie freedom ourdoor spirits virus. grrr.gif

last nigh ii saw chenel9 perter overton asked a young aussie lady who still living in shanghai about situation there, that give me some hopes for this thingy
as peter said----"i like it, it ends"!!
  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: Apr 5 2020, 09:25 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/australia/bu...&ocid=wispr

Burnie's hospital has shut two wards to new admissions following three staff members becoming infected with coronavirus, prompting an investigation into the incident.

=================================

do we need Einstein to tell us that any face mask can catch virus with those who carries virus but don't know they do???
do we need Einstein to tell us even the face mask isn't 3M but still provide extra layer of protection to us??

scientist is a purer knowledge based on simple reason.
but what those so called "scientists" gave advise to our health officials?? not allowed docs and workers wearing face masks in the hospital, safe to let 2700 .........................FROM RUBY SHIP..
scientists first is to be a scientists then something eles
but these clowns let them self to be a political tool ahead of everything. it is really SHAME SHAME SHAME
i had my top wish now , i wish all these from ruby princess give Dr. Chant and her team a good hug and kiss and to that health minister as well!!!! angry.gif


  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: Apr 4 2020, 08:54 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

Some seem to be of the view that we shouldn't be knocking ourselves out just to save a few oldies. Not personally a fan of this idea, but I can see it growing in popularity.

====================
amazed to see people have that stupid thoughts
don't they see what happened in Italy. Span, Newyork now???? unsure.gif shake my head.

try to talk about "conspiracy series" where the virus started. try to give my logical
-----------

i guess few off you guys must be remember 6 or 8 years back[ not really sure the time} australia racing industry is under threat, the horse got mysterious virus and the horse handler died from that virus
and they find out there are bats on the three around those place, and bats drops contains that virus---so it's the bats to horse then pass on to human. lucky that virus not as contagious as current covid-19
it went away . now i said to people " bats is type of flying rats" it carries all sorts virus and not sick from them.

people think chinese love to eat wild animals----it is not true . it is their culture that made this shit happen. we all know chinese like to talk of biz at restaurants table, try to showing off . they tent odder wild animal meat so the meal become expensive that shows the respect or whatever.... that create demand
at Wuhan huanan seafood market have the trade of a lot of wild animals that include bats. now to my knowledge if you eat cooked bats you won't get virus. but it is these traders whom feed those live bats in the cage.
live bats have drops everyday, so how they clean these drops---------------- A BUCKET OF WATER TO FLASH THE DROPS IN THE DRAINAGE.
now we all know this covid-19 can live on the hard surface for few days esp at cold condition. what that bucket water doing at end of the day?? spread virus all over the place
on the report, the earliest people get sick from these virus are these wild animal traders from that market
i saw one study from scientists said this covid--19 virus breaked it's surface and made itself highly contagious...i reckon it is right!

when few hospital stuff see these sick people , they raised alarm to their hospital head and all the way to local health officials.. but these arssholes try to cover it up by suppress these so called "whistleblower".
untill 2--3 weeks later that things gets scary, they have to report to central Govt--. then weeks later Xi sees thing might out of control and oddered wunhan Hubei lock down.
then all stats , cities. got scared. then whole country been locked down.
---------------
i guess a lot of peoples will agree with my logical of this thingy.
currently i'm upset to see our govt. and main media just as stupid arssholes as others.
now it's too later to bark about "cruise ship" shity
the thing made my blood boil is that last few weeks all our hospital stuff not ALLOWED to wear face masks----why we have to listen to big mouth trump all the time and put our health workers in danger??? WHY?? WHY??? i reckon heads should roll for our health ministers . what kinda advise they gave us---2700 ruby princess disembarked with safe assessment given by those officials, end up with 600 got positive result.
and not allowed medical stuff wearing masks in hospital???? i'm f"£$%$ speechless how these "experts"" gets the job??????????????? we pay tax for these imbsiles???? sadsmiley02.gif

i'm too upset to keep going. i guess locked in home for about a week that got me little mad!!!!!


  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: Apr 3 2020, 08:47 PM


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Posts: 12,687

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/04/03/oil-markets...a-in-focus.html

Trump said he had made no offer to cut U.S. output.

==================
yeah , already had one file the chapter 11 yesterday.----A BIG SHALE PLAYER FROM USA
if Saudi don't make a effort to jack up oil price, i guess their oil field will be strike by missiles that made in USA soon.............. cool.gif

"american first"..."make american great again"!!!!!!!!!!! lmaosmiley.gif

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Apr 3 2020, 09:43 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.afr.com/policy/economy/nev-powe...20200402-p54gf2

Australia has an “enormous opportunity” to reboot its manufacturing sector by taking advantage of crippled global supply chains and a lower currency, says Nev Power, the man handpicked by the Prime Minister to lead an expert advisory commission.

======================

now that is the thing media should've focus on.... and if media give a intensive report month ago about "cruise ship" we might not face current hardship .
how to protecting aussies and how to protecting aussie economy
when this thingy over then we can trade barbs with china or whoever that is.
but at moment let's focus on our own well being, take this chance to rebuilt something that we've lost in "globalization".
it's just my thoughts though. i'm peoples here got other ideas.

  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: Apr 3 2020, 05:28 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/04/02/oil-rallies...o-end-soon.html

Oil prices skyrocketed on Thursday after President Donald Trump told CNBC Saudis and Russia will ease pressure on oil, ending a price war that has contributed to crude’s massive plunge.

West Texas Intermediate crude futures surged 24.67% to settle at $25.32 per barrel, for its largest single-day percentage gain in history. Given WTI’s 59% decline this year a smaller gain, of course, now accounts for a much larger percentage move. International benchmark Brent crude jumped 17.8%, or $4.40, to trade at $29.14 per barrel.

======================

compare to year to date drop------------- the price is far behind and need to go a lot higher to defuse current threat to the financial system from USA and around world . imho

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Apr 2 2020, 02:44 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

called my brother whom living shanghai
he told me that officials were prepare to open up cinemas next week in shanghai, but postponed . because of a lot of imported case from their overseas student whom flown back to china with the virus.
i was ask him how to cope with the lock down eg....
he told me that he got 4 bottles of disinfection spree at their door [ evrything from outside will be spreed] only go out for food and few things once a week for less than an hour
read maps [ showing where and which supper market got suspectors] before go out. otherwise stay in the home all day long. all the online diliveries will be spreed.....
i said to him----" sound like in jail" he said " that's about it "
now i believe why shanghai only had few hundreds case with over 22mil population all living a city that 40times smaller than NSW. they are so strict.
between live and freedom people there made their choice . everyone follow the rules and keep eye on their neighbors ---worse than "culture revolution" time.
he said to me===first few days is hard, and you will get use to it as time goes on weeks.. months.....
locked myself inside over three days........... not easy task......!!

but c'mon. we can get through it

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SAqp6YJWIUU

" we are champions"!!!!
good luck to you all!!
  Forum: Investment Discussion

early birds
Posted on: Apr 2 2020, 11:52 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.sharecafe.com.au/2020/04/02/whi...lty-of-oil-war/

Shale oil producer Whiting Petroleum Corp has gone broke, becoming the first casualty of the Russia-Saudi Arabia oil price and volume war that has seen prices for US crude slump 50% in the past month to $US20 a barrel.

The producer (which is smaller than Woodside Petroleum in Australia) said it had filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy after reaching an agreement with creditors to cut its debt by about $US2.2 billion through an exchange of some of its notes for 97% of new equity.

==========================

it's just a start, soon US economy will face the heat and spread to whole world financial system .
unless we see oil price back to usd50/b within month.
how that gonna be happen?? well , most of us know how world war one started!!!!!!!!! wink.gif

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Apr 2 2020, 09:47 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/deaths...20200402-p54g92

The NSW government has belatedly taken a hard line on cruise ships following the Ruby Princess debacle last month, when thousands of passengers were allowed to disembark from the cruise ship and spread the virus across Australia.

More than 400 cases have been linked to the cruise ship, about 10 per cent of the infections in Australia.

========================================

seems no one care why this happened, no one has responsibility for it till now???????????

  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: Apr 2 2020, 09:34 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.afr.com/companies/financial-ser...20200402-p54g9v


Across our organisation, we are working hard to ensure we remain open for business ... We must also look to the future for the best way for Westpac to meet the challenges," Mr King said.

-----------------------

yep!!! got prop manager team, but divy for all the banks seems under pressure .
cut the divy support reckless borrower ------way to running a biz!!

  Forum: By Share Code

Poll: The Banks
early birds
Posted on: Apr 2 2020, 09:24 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.afr.com/companies/financial-ser...20200402-p54g9p

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand ordered Australia's big four banks, which dominate the banking sector there, to stop paying dividends back to their parent banks in Australia, to build up more earnings to protect its economy from the COVID-19 crisis.

The move by New Zealand regulators, which have taken a hard line on the Australian owned banks, follows similar moves by regulators overseas to restrict distributions to shareholders to ensure banks are strong enough to withstand growing losses as businesses shut down due to the coronavirus struggle to repay debts.

================================================

thumbdown.gif where we living???????????

  Forum: Investment Discussion

early birds
Posted on: Apr 1 2020, 08:32 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

tongue.gif

" finally see the truth , the hero comes along "

https://www.afr.com/wealth/people/andrew-fo...20200401-p54g45

Mining billionaire Andrew Forrest has organised 90 tonnes of medical supplies to be flown from China as part of a $160 million funding package unveiled by his philanthropic foundation.

--------------------------
lmaosmiley.gif

buy FMG TOMORROW!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: Apr 1 2020, 09:12 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

didn't see our main media report Saudi down Yemen's drone attack on aramco oil field
i guess if those attack succeeds then oil price could be doubled in few days-----godd for USA and Rassia
poor Saudi have to fend attack off on it's own now!!!!

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 31 2020, 11:22 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

not accuse stimulus it self. just think it is too generous . use half of it and keep the rest after 6 months, we might still need little more from Govt, to get aus economy back to it's normal activity.
you are right about every other govt. all doing it to compete each other to printing.....

for gold , i don't like to discus this any more because i done that years back ----argueing with poster name "flower" after GFC looking back gold price just back to there about after that much printing by all major economy.
i reckon gold just like other speculative thing as it lost most of it's "currency" stats after USA back out of bretton woods agreement by Nxon Govt, at 60s

i made mistake not investing in property after GFC , and thought i had chance now to get what i think is right thing and reward. but you have Govt come out with this "whatever it takes" and more
makes me think what i'm trying to be discipline for. it's just "borrow more the better" all over again. wink.gif

anyway, it's just my thoughts.

as asx200 keeps rally i will make some $$$$. keep eye on the current trade try to make buck somewhere.

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 30 2020, 09:28 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.afr.com/companies/financial-ser...20200330-p54fbh

"Some will say it is too little, some will say it is too much," Morrison acknowledged.

=====================

wink.gif always say too little---because people all love doing nothing and get paid include me. but i try to be smart and live by means , now i'm so jealous about the people whom borrowed to their necks to invest in properties ........................seems i'm the loser again in this crisis just like i did after GFC. man!!! feel so stupid and bitter !

back to market
seems Govt. around world all going to print heck out of this thingy, so market gonna keeps going up for a while....
asx200 ----5330ish will be smash through and target 5500 then 6000. in near future.
i'm happy with my long atm. that will sooth some of my bitterness !! blush.gif

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 30 2020, 05:28 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

can you avoid paying tax?? death and tax...... lmaosmiley.gif

my supper gonna suffer this year ..may be next as well. but i'm still young hope i'm not drop dead in few years time. ohmy.gif

for next six months half of our nation will work for Govt.
  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 30 2020, 03:37 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/austra...20200330-p54f45

PM announces $130b wage subsidy

======================================

well well.................. keep printing, it's punishment of people that "live with their means". really ask people keep borrowing and Govt. will back you up cool.gif

my trade is made good money as i kinda knew this type of printing on the way. hahaha.....

love CFDs. way to make good profits these days. lmaosmiley.gif

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 30 2020, 09:27 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

asx200
from open near 4800 rallied to 4800 in matter of 15 odd minutes. adjust the fall from last Friday as all other market performed well??

bearish look for US market. atm.

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 28 2020, 06:22 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

like you , i/m bearish for next few months.
but for next few sessioms that is whole different story, got to watch all things possible...likes of currency movement bond market eg...
huge swing is a double age sword for traders
once in a 10 years chance that we don't want to miss... tongue.gif

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 27 2020, 04:04 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/27/asia-market...s-in-focus.html

Australia stocks drop more than 5% as coronavirus uncertainty weighs on Asia markets

=====================

they didn't mention that AUD/USD rallied big time today, it is one of the reasons that asx200 way under-performed other markets. i reckon!!


  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 27 2020, 03:15 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687


let's see if it over shoots the up side today,?? if it does , then 5500 would be achieved today. but it is Friday.

=================

seems, short term traders don't like to hold longs over the weekend~!!
as virus situation gets worse, we might see major market give back a lot of gains from last three days.
keep eye on it.

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 27 2020, 10:48 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

come back to this issue, not really good for the residential property markets



https://www.afr.com/property/commercial/lan...20200327-p54efk

bleak out look for the sector.......
  Forum: Investment Discussion

early birds
Posted on: Mar 27 2020, 08:48 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

nothing make sense nowadays .

this link might help you little bit.

https://www.afr.com/markets/equity-markets/...20200327-p54edx


i guess people might think that worse case almost priced in due to the sell offs last few weeks.???

doesn't feel good about it when i see the news of so many people line up in front of centrelink. where we should off load the trades?? try to work out . i know it is a lot harder at current situation, but as trader that is what we have to deal with it.

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 27 2020, 08:08 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

just got up---to see asx200 closed at 5330-----my first target.

let's see if it over shoots the up side today,?? if it does , then 5500 would be achieved today. but it is Friday.
see how it goes!!

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 25 2020, 08:03 PM


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Posts: 12,687

https://www.afr.com/markets/equity-markets/...20200324-p54db7


The entrepreneur, who runs the portfolio for himself and family and friends from Sydney's Neutral Bay, is fiercely critical of professional fund managers who are set to report 40 to 50 per cent in capital losses to investors this month.

"All the [virus] data was there. If I can work it out, why can't a professional fund manager with 10 years' more experience than me? Every manager doing their job should have taken a lot of risk off mid-Feb on the basis of exponential growth of the virus in China only, at that point.

They just failed at risk management. So many people missed this and screwed up, but if you did the work it was all there. This was way too obvious with only a little bit of work and incredibly obvious when doing a lot of work.

"It’s clear from how many [funds] are down so much that they're incredible at valuing companies, but not even focused on risk management."
====================

i know he made plenty and bracking. but he did point out these lazy fundies "herd mentality".. only to shake my head.

  Forum: Investment Discussion

early birds
Posted on: Mar 25 2020, 03:18 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

because of US both house agreeing virus stimulus-----news out, and future popped up
what's next?? 70% chance of sell into news i'm afraid !! ohmy.gif

take care mate. be nimble !!



  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 25 2020, 07:52 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

up side target for asx200 this week first 5330ish if over shoots there then 5500ish

can't see much further .

one step the time like many of marketers atm. cool.gif

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 24 2020, 07:44 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

US market futures all limit up now!! lmaosmiley.gif

gonna be kidding this market.
5--10% swing everyday. this is major index we are talk about. mamamia!!!!!!

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 24 2020, 08:48 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

agree with you joules
but market will get a final tailwind

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/23/dow-futures...virus-bill.html
Earlier in Monday’s session, a bill that would authorize giant fiscal spending to stimulate the economy failed to clear a key procedural hurdle. The Senate disagreement came despite Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin’s optimism to CNBC’s Jim Cramer that Congress was “very close” to getting a fiscal package done, noting it must be pushed forward “today.”
==================================

if USA get that US govt's fiscal stimulus , then w might see a big pop up for all the markets.. then as economic data get's ugly market sliding again
even scientists doesn't know when and how this thingy gonna over
so all we can do is "educated guess" lmaosmiley.gif

as nipper said ----good luck to everyone.

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 23 2020, 08:48 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

US market future limit down now.

panic hits another level.

asx200 will be hammed today as as we have shut down for VIC, NSW.

how do we trade this situation?? unsure.gif
  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 21 2020, 10:07 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687


SPX seems going up after initial sell down. expecting it to finish above 2450ish this session.

============================

that is before i went bed to see SPX looks really in a up mode.

got up this morning to see SPX finish at 2777..... sit on a loss . my stops at 2265. i guess it will be triggered when Monday comes. weirdsmiley.gif

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 21 2020, 12:34 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

seems most of us are singing with sarcasm these days . weirdsmiley.gif

people been told workinjg from home for 12 weeks. sound little too long??
i know we will running into winter very soon.
hope today's hot , sunny whether will kill the virus in NSW.

BACK TO MARKET
SPX seems going up after initial sell down. expecting it to finish above 2450ish this session.

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 20 2020, 06:17 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

lmaosmiley.gif California dream---isn't it!! or mightmare!!

any way US market looks like a limit up day before their cash market opens!

chaos, madness....whatever!!
  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 20 2020, 10:41 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

liquidity become problem????? that is central banks job, and it is easy to fix.

one thing that make me sit up is that US 10 year yield is over 1%. we may or may not know where the bottom of this market is
but 10 year's yield always a important sign for the market.

i stick my neck out to say that "" we are vary near market bottom". time to think about long term investing look out for 3 years or a lot longer [10 years]

virus lock down will affecting biz big time this Q. situation will getting ugly. but market seems nearly priced in most of them at it's current level.
it's just me .
DYOR
================================================

two days later market guru.......

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-stock...9?mod=home-page


Another reason to believe that the equity market may be nearing its nadir are dynamics in the government bond market. James Paulsen, chief investment strategist at the Leuthold Group pointed out in a Wednesday note that the recent rise in the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note TMUBMUSD10Y, 1.157%, from about 0.6% Monday to roughly 1.1% Thursday could be a bullish sign for stocks.

He noted that significant stock-market declines in 1987, 1998, 2002 and 2008 were preceded by marked increases in bond yields. “In each of these financial crises, both the stock market and bond yields eventually suffered sizeable and sharp declines,” he wrote. “Thereafter, however, once bond yields posted a meaningful advance, in every case the bear market was nearing its end.”
==========================================

what's good about current chaos
doesn't matter you are big hedge fund guru talking heads or you are a tiny fish like me, all have same opptunities on the same level now!! laugh.gif

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 20 2020, 09:40 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

can't find usual things that i usually buy from butch shops this morning. wink.gif

how crazy people can be?? i know a lot of peoples working from home, but that doesn't mean ................well , i'm bit speechless atm
things might get back to normal next week?? i hope so!!

  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: Mar 20 2020, 09:23 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

SPX longs hit my first target and i sold half of my holding{ as usual] then trialed stops to 2395 with the rest of the longs
got hit . but still nice profit.
wait for it to come down to near 2300 and set the trade again.

looks HK market is about to pop up. my eyes on that market as well, as china virus situation seems under control.

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 19 2020, 05:05 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.afr.com/world/asia/locked-down-...20200317-p54ax4

Locked down in Beijing, I watched China beat back the coronavirus

================================

chose between "freedom" and "alive", all the mad shoppers whom give us the answer
even Qantas stand down 20k workers ----I STILL CALL AUSTRALIA HOME. i really do!! although i'm born in shanghai.

C'mon people don't go mad. be calm, we will get through it!! cool.gif

  Forum: Investment Discussion

early birds
Posted on: Mar 19 2020, 02:54 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

tooklittleé¾™position for SPX just under 2300 stops set at 2265, aim for 150----200 points gain
only trade i set so far.

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 19 2020, 01:45 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

after RBA CUTTING
AUD dives to 55cps.
joules, need you give us your TA work for than ever with current panic .
i know it is really hard!! weirdsmiley.gif

through in few longs today. most of them been stopped out.
feels like sky gonna falling on our head
not just stock market, the freaking whole society i'm talking about.

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 19 2020, 10:16 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

had a go with SPX longs
after in and out countless time last night. only made few bucks just now as SPX future surged . it touched 2018 Dec. low and triggered stop loss there last night. now i reckon short term bottom is in for US market.

buy the dips and set stops just below last night's intraday low made by SPX..

not sure about asx200 as it still weak but really over sold level.

now about those mad shopers.
i called my brother whom living in shanghai often . i asked about people buying up every thing like rice eg here.
how about shanghai when the city locked down { still sami lock down].....
he said " no one go mad like you guys do" " we have plenty rice every where" he f"££$%$ing laugh at me! weirdsmiley.gif
shanghai has population over 23 mil ---similar to whole aussie population.
i didn't do panic buy { may be it's right thing to do as Sct Mo is in a lock down mode}. i thought this country have plenty food and everything. that is why i kinda feel funny to see people shuffling around in woolies coles.
i might be wrong on this thingy.

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 18 2020, 05:45 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

have look at news of all those shopers, wholly morlly!!!

people all gone mad!!

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 18 2020, 03:19 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

SPX future limit down now
i guess soon Dow future will follow.

we might just follow Philippines -----shut the market for few days?????? laugh.gif

shake my head for this chaos.

seems like whole world is gonna come to an end................

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 18 2020, 02:49 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

less than 10 mimutes asx200 up 100 points
WTF.................CRAZY.................
  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 18 2020, 09:27 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

liquidity become problem????? that is central banks job, and it is easy to fix.

one thing that make me sit up is that US 10 year yield is over 1%. we may or may not know where the bottom of this market is
but 10 year's yield always a important sign for the market.

i stick my neck out to say that "" we are vary near market bottom". time to think about long term investing look out for 3 years or a lot longer [10 years]

virus lock down will affecting biz big time this Q. situation will getting ugly. but market seems nearly priced in most of them at it's current level.
it's just me .
DYOR


  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 17 2020, 11:23 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

Dow just hit limit up.
yesterday hit limit down.

it's not yo--yo, it's a pendulum without sting attached........ lmaosmiley.gif

mamania!!
  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 17 2020, 10:26 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

asx200 down 10% yesterday .
aussie lead way down, now it might lead way up??? unsure.gif

  Forum: Investment Discussion

early birds
Posted on: Mar 17 2020, 09:02 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

Economic Data Will Get Worse. Don’t Wait for it to Get Better.
MATT WELLER, CFA, CMT
MARCH 17, 2020 5:26 AM
Share:
Markets have recovered slightly off the peak pessimism of this morning, but even the bounce from “sheer, unadulterated panic” levels to mere “violently risk averse” prices may not hold for long in the current environment. Major indices have erased Friday’s rally entirely to hit new multi-year lows, yields on the benchmark 10-year treasury bond have been stuck below 1.00% for the past week, and the safe haven currencies (JPY, CHF, and US dollar) are leading the relative strength charts year-to-date, while growth-sensitive currencies like the Australian and New Zealand dollars have fallen sharply:



Source: Finviz

So why are have markets become so volatile, despite economic data holding up relatively well so far?

Well, at the risk of stating the obvious for some readers, it’s critical to remember that the markets are forward-looking. Traders can’t afford to wait for retail sales to fall, unemployment to rise, and economic growth to grind to a halt to sell risk assets. The market is constantly pricing in its best estimate of the future state of affairs in real time.

What does that mean in practice when it comes to coronavirus?

It means that we WILL see infection and the associated death figures rise.
It means that we WILL see more extreme efforts to limit the spread of COVID-19.
It means that we WILL see some almost unbelievably bad economic figures in the coming weeks (think sub-40 PMIs, 1-2 million in initial unemployment claims, etc).
And that will all be highly unsettling, to put it lightly. It’s worth doing your best to prepare for things to get better before they get worse, on both a societal and economic level.

But the fact that markets are forward-looking also has a silver lining: it means that markets and risk appetite WILL improve before the underlying infection, death, or economic data does. This is the fundamental nature of markets. By aggregating the opinions of millions of smart individuals around the globe and incentivizing them to be as accurate as possible, markets can provide one of the most accurate ways to “predict” the future, even if they are imperfect. That’s the reason that the Chinese stock market is one of the best performing indices across the globe year to date.

If you wait for infection and economic data to improve, you’ll miss the majority (if not all) of the recovery.

As far as actionable information, we’d encourage readers to take their cues from the broader market. Keying in on the major markets, some short-term signs that could signal a shift back toward a more risk-on environment (or at least stabilization) include the following:

A recovery to regain 2700 in the S&P 500
AUD/JPY, the quintessential risk-on/safe haven pairing, to break back above 69.00
A move above 1.00% in the 10-year treasury yield
Oil prices (WTI) recovering above 35.00


Source: TradingView, GAIN Capital

Astute observers will note that these levels roughly correspond to the 21-day EMA for each instrument. Obviously, these initial levels will evolve if we see another big leg lower in the coming weeks. If we do fall further, then we’ll check back and update these areas, as well as equivalent levels in other markets.

“If you can keep your head when all about you

Are losing theirs and blaming it on you…

If you can force your heart and nerve and sinew

To serve your turn long after they are gone…

Yours is the Earth and everything that’s in it”
==================================================

if you about to lose your head, spent few minutes to read this. imho... in front of panic ----not just market whole society
keep cooling baby----------------as led zeppelin singing it!!

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 16 2020, 10:57 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

has three go at Dax
one shorts and two longs. end up with "even steeven".

i might go long again after to see how US market goes!!

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 16 2020, 05:28 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

Dax 8700 on daily chart is a really strong support. but set your stops and trade it when the cash market opens
the future market's move just too extreme .

i kinda think the same as you but stay on the fence atm. might jump in after cash market opens.

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 16 2020, 03:38 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

to be honest.... i walk the fine line this far since last week or so. made good $$
but today , seems not as good and accurate as last few days, had feeling that i about to make stupid mistake.................
so i start to cut down the size of index holding big time and set stops and will ruthlessly execute them, don't like to give back what i earned last few sessions. even i missed trade.



  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 16 2020, 02:21 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

will market turn around tomorrow??

this is crazy market ever seen. but so far i'm on top of it.
not sure what will wall street reacting , to me i just try to fig it out how big the down side for Dow Spx Dax, . try to work out strong support level of them.



  Forum: By Share Code

early birds
Posted on: Mar 16 2020, 10:12 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

please joules
give us some 2 or 5 minutes TA for scaplers like me. tongue.gif

try three times only made little ....seems really hard male few buck today!! weirdsmiley.gif

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 16 2020, 08:28 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/15/federal-res...ng-program.html

https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/fortre...20200315-p54a8h

gee ,,,, a lot of info to digest this morning.

looks world is in real panic mode ..
  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 16 2020, 08:17 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

Westpac's acting chief executive Peter King says the big four banks are strong enough to withstand a sharp rise in bad debts and a freeze in credit markets but warned that the biggest issue was how long they can keep afloat business borrowers with no cash flow.

Throwing some of the burden back on to the federal government, Mr King said the crisis "was a real economy issue that needs to be dealt with as a real economy issue," as households and businesses would require unprecedented support.


Westpac's incoming acting chief executive Peter King says the coronavirus crisis is a 'real economy' issue. Louie Douvis

"A bigger focus is how small businesses and consumers, and even big business, navigates during a period of low economic activity,” he told The Australian Financial Review.

Mr King, who took the reigns at the nation's second largest lender after the anti-money laundering compliance scandal led to the resignation of former CEO Brian Hartzer, said the lender was conscious of its role in supporting and sustaining the economy whilst remaining strong.

"We are planning for very tough conditions and hoping for the best. We are gearing up for if people need help – if a small business has cash flows that are impacted or someone has reduced hourly pay and needs help with payments."

RELATED QUOTES
WBCWestpac Banking Corporation
$18.12
0.00

1 year
1 day
Apr 19
Jul 19
Oct 19
Jan 20
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00

Updated: Mar 16, 2020 – 8.16am. Data is 20 mins delayed.
View WBC related articles
A plunge in economic activity looms in the second quarter, as industries such as tourism, education and entertainment grind to a halt. Westpac like other banks, will have to manage a rise in late payments, whilst remaining open to new lending.

Mr King said that the bank had spent the last decade building capital and liquidity buffers but "now was the time to use those buffers".

“We are not meant to stay at 'unquestionably strong' through all parts of the cycle,” he said.

The 2014 David Murray-led Financial System Inquiry demanded the banks increase the amount of capital held to a level that could withstand losses to unquestionably strong levels.

To meet that definition, Australia's banks were required to rank among the top 25 per cent globally on this measure.

Crisis spills into credit markets
If the banks experience a rise in bad debts, the losses will result in a reduction in capital ratios, potentially to below the stated targets. This week, the Bank of England told UK banks it would relax capital targets as part of a broader support package.

Mr King's comments came after one of the most volatile weeks in financial markets history, that spilled into credit markets.

The cost of insuring against the default of Westpac's five year bonds soared from a little under 30 basis points on February 24 to almost 87 basis points last Friday, a three-fold increase.

National Australia Bank and Macquarie were forced to pull hybrid capital raisings late last week, after two of the worst trading days in the history that meant investors who had subscribed to those offers would face an immediate loss of at least 10 per cent.

On Friday, the Reserve Bank provided a record $8.8 billion of short term financing to the money markets, which the banks tap for funding. That came a day after the Morrison government announced a $17.6 billion fiscal support package.

The Reserve Bank is also expected to roll out a funding facility, similar in nature to the Bank of England's term funding facility, that would encourage the banks to lend to small businesses and households even as interest rates fall to near-zero levels.

Mr King said Westpac had ample 'liquidity' and he, along with the bank's treasurer Curt Zuber had issued long-term debt that does not need to be repaid for several years before the coronavirus induced market panics led credit markets to close.

“The GFC was about banks not being confident with each other – but that is not the case," Mr King said.

"We can sit out for longer periods without dealing with each other. We are well prepared to stay out of the market.”

Years of change
The big four banks are heading into coronavirus well prepared as regulatory changes have forced them to increase their capital levels whilst also upping their holdings of safe assets that can be sold into the market on short notice to fund deposit withdrawals.

The banks have also been forced by regulation to spread the proportion of long-term debt they raise further into the future, reducing the amount they are required to re-finance in any given year.

But Westpac, like other banks, have endured years of rolling scandals and regulatory probes that have led to management upheaval, increased compliance costs, and an erosion of public trust, that culminated in a royal commission.

Mr King said the bank's balance sheet was set up well, and it had an experienced, crisis-hardened staff.

"We have a few people that were in and around in a hands on way during the last crisis. We know the tools and techniques, and the interface with the Reserve Bank and the government are working well.”

Westpac employs over 35,000 staff across Australia and Mr King said the 202-year-old institution was playing its part in relation to the coronavirus "to slow down the spread within the community."

“We have a playbook if we have a positive [coronavirus] result – how we manage those people, how we clean the office and how we communicate to the team – that lines up with government policy."

Mr King said Westpac was thinking about fulfilling the critical capabilities to the economy, That includes “having branches open, ATMs working, internet and digital banking operating, making sure our cyber teams are focused on protecting data at critical points, and keeping lending going.”
===========================
Mr King said Westpac was thinking about fulfilling the critical capabilities to the economy!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


--------------------
here comes my guess work
1, King asking Govt. to let WBC off the hook lightly about their money laundering thingy
2, if Govt does that then whole banking sector will be lifted , that will lift asx200 as financial sector provide support for the market

it make sense for Govt to do that with current situation, but it's just my educated guess work. blush.gif
WBC PRICE
if govt didn't do that , market already priced in WBC will be hit hard with fine---they will trade current price, but id Govt, do what i guessed than WBC will shoots up 10--20% in one hit. with current panic situation it is really a posibility.

i hold heaps WBC, so i'm really biased ,

please......DYOR before take any action.
  Forum: By Share Code

Poll: The Banks
early birds
Posted on: Mar 14 2020, 04:56 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

i know everything you bought in the morning all had huge turning around with the big arvo rally

but for our major 4 banks to be down around 12% in the morning and finished day up over 1%............that gonna be writing in the history books for our stock market i reckon. smile.gif

glad i did heavy buying in the morning. it's not just luck about timing, i did see "forced selling" happened and take the action.

i deserve a pat at my back as i did calling hear. ohmy.gif
  Forum: Investment Discussion

early birds
Posted on: Mar 13 2020, 10:17 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

Why is everything being sold?

On the eve of Friday the 13th, U.S. equity indices suffered their largest one day fall since the 1987 stock market crash. Globally, key equity markets have exceeded most downside expectations stemming from Covid-19 and are now approximately -30% below their highs from just four weeks ago.

Contagion from equities markets has spread across asset classes including traditional safe-haven assets, U.S Treasury bonds and gold and prompting the question “Why is everything being sold and where is the selling coming from?”

As mentioned recently, when prices across different asset classes fall simultaneously, it often indicates leveraged investors are either reducing their risk/positions across the board, being margin called or investors are withdrawing money.

Risk Parity Funds would appear to be vulnerable to the type of moves viewed across various asset classes this week and may be partially to blame for some of this week's downside acceleration.

========================================

can we call it " stressed selling" or " forced selling" this morning???.
now , every man and his dog all said " when every one gets greedy you should be fear,.....blah blah" golden rules of great Buffett.
today isn't the day we should do this???? lmaosmiley.gif

in early days of my English learning -------------IT'S EASY TO SAY BUT IT'S DIFFICULT TO DO!!!
  Forum: Investment Discussion

early birds
Posted on: Mar 13 2020, 02:19 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

asx200 5301 as typing

did break your res. short term bottom?? unsure.gif

  Forum: Macro Factors

Poll: The Banks
early birds
Posted on: Mar 13 2020, 02:05 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

look at banks price now nipper

you can imagine EB doing the chest beating like animal lmaosmiley.gif

seems i did good buying . paid off !

  Forum: Investment Discussion

Poll: The Banks
early birds
Posted on: Mar 13 2020, 12:43 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

i did buy today.. for the banks
at their worse lvel WBC NAB , ANZ all down 12% odd

looking 20% up in months or two. but if market have really sharp snap back next week or two. these banks might just do the job.
i think selling is wayyyyyyyyyyyyyy over done. most of the selling are been forced today imho.

any way, hope you guys bought some as well!!
tongue.gif

  Forum: Investment Discussion

early birds
Posted on: Mar 13 2020, 09:01 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

lmaosmiley.gif


asx200 hit through 5000. made my first pot.

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 13 2020, 08:59 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

lmaosmiley.gif
Mick you are so dark. kinda disagree with you. today is the day we can call it " panic" for stock market term.
sell every thing type.
i'm digging money atm try to put into CFD to have a leverage bet the selling is over done. a big snap back in very short term. i'm gambler lmaosmiley.gif
wish me luck Mick!!












"
  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 13 2020, 08:35 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

even gold come down
selling every thing to meet margin call???
nothing safe now.

is that "blood on the street" moment?? unsure.gif

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 13 2020, 08:31 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/11/futures-are...wait-trump.html

Stocks plummeted once again on Thursday after President Donald Trump and the Federal Reserve both failed to quell concerns over the economic slowdown stemming from the coronavirus, leading to a historic drop for the U.S. markets.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed 2,352.60 points lower, or 9.99%, at 21,200.62. The index had its worst drop since the 1987 “Black Monday” market crash, when it collapsed by more than 22%.The S&P 500 plummeted 9.5% to 2,480.64, joining the Dow in a bear market. The S&P 500 also had its worst day since 1987. The Nasdaq Composite closed 9.4% lower at 7,201.80.

====================

just thought " can't get any worse" but markets come with another big bang
the liquidation of ETF like snow ball rolling down the hill....seems this market rout will affect real economy, bad bad thing.

asx200

i do think 5000 will be reclaim , just not sure it will be today or not. it will within three trading days[ over 90% chance]

DYOR as always. don't panic. i leant one thing during GFC -------if world comes to the end, then money is useless ... wink.gif

  Forum: Macro Factors

Poll: The Banks
early birds
Posted on: Mar 12 2020, 04:09 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

sound like to buy them now nipper??

i had few WBC [bought them a lpt higher than current level] konda think of to buy few more.......
i do hold some cash, but seems like kid in the candy shop saw TLS, BANKS even BHP RIO OR S32P THE GOOD TO ME] tongue.gif

should i wait dust settle, or start to nib few now?? unsure.gif

  Forum: Investment Discussion

early birds
Posted on: Mar 12 2020, 02:38 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

gee , market must heard my screaming

DAX is near 10000 round number now. fast money eh??? tongue.gif

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 12 2020, 02:35 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

about 100 points pop within 10 minutes just happened.
i guess those CFD's you are mentioned ---most of them should make few bucks... they won't be wrong all the time....esp with this type of market
even the market maker have to be up the game, less of manipulation ............ lmaosmiley.gif

long DAX , another 100 points in it before their cash market opens. currently at 9900.

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 12 2020, 08:37 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/10/dow-futures...days-surge.html

“We can see the panic in the equity market,” said Jerry Braakman, chief investment officer of First American Trust. “The big question for most people is, are we at the bottom yet? I think we’re only about halfway there.”

=======================

half way there???


seems like another quiet day this board.
keep eye on the low that asx200 future made two sessions ago-------5346. and low of last night----5492
only for short term trade. no longer than Friday night for the index.

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 11 2020, 03:33 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

State, not Federal. (Trump hasn't got the intelligence to comprehend, let alone act)

==================

i guess people knows that long ago.. but until trump's market mates get really , he won't come out with real financial injection .
he is all about the "timing for his mate" lmaosmiley.gif

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 11 2020, 09:03 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

" speek too soon" nipper lmaosmiley.gif , future start weak rather . it's freaking crazy out there.
now , not sure where it will go today?? unsure.gif
  Forum: Investment Discussion

early birds
Posted on: Mar 10 2020, 10:18 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

Shale’s new reality: Almost all wells drilled now lose money.

that is the reality for USA
they said most of these small and medium size driller all rely on credit from banks
the crash of oil price might triggering a credit event.......... sound bit like scar mongering to me. as we all know banks have really good level of tie1 capitals these day..
who knows what happens.

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 10 2020, 01:11 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

remembering ” wall street" ??
GREED---lack of better words--is good! lmaosmiley.gif

joke aside. there is balance between provide basic care and save unnecessary cost for those homes.
that is most of share holders wish for the manege team to do the job. i guess reality is another story, that is why we RC moved into this sector
but with egging population growing explosively , i see the demands . to be ownest with you Asian or not , no one likes live with the odies but a lot of people do respect and love them.
a good quality age care home might be able to solve issue. if some can afford it. i guess a lot of oldies do have property that worth good mount of $$$.....
that is why i jumped into this sectors. but the virus thingy.................. i can only give my self a bitter laugh.... wink.gif

when i did study on both of them i do see they owns a lot of land. esp JHC . at my calculation it sell all land at current price they can pay off their debt and return big mount of cash to share holders
that is why i kinda think that market seems blind to see these valuation at current chaos..............

  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: Mar 10 2020, 10:17 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

do you have any more infos nipper??

currently i sit on a big loss { nearly 20%] on both EHE JHC. bought them too early after i did deep check on their balance sheets and assets backing .
at their current price if someone jump in for a take over, that would be huge bargain given the assets they've got .
i thought by 2023 23% of australian population will be over 60's that would be a huge tail win for these stocks, but that freaking virus seems ruined my { smarty pants] weirdsmiley.gif

if you know bit more inside news please share it here nipper or any other readers.

  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: Mar 10 2020, 09:29 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

asx200

off the low with big bounce within 25 minutes. seems a temporary bottom is in play for this week.
can't see much further than that.
hope some of you guys come here to chip in ...... tongue.gif

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 10 2020, 08:08 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/04/cramers-mos...ing-stocks.html

this guy keeps calling people ""buy buy buy" every day since last week
but market keeps going down------------big time!! that says a lot about these market gurus!! cool.gif

expecting asx200 will flip flop around 5400-----5600 range today.
panic selling will be over this week [to me will be over today]

if some of you have good cash level, today , might be the day you start to buy few things you like it.

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 9 2020, 07:40 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

lmaosmiley.gif

margin call caused by panic selling.......
in future market you don't see many bidders except market makers. that is why we see these major index future traded huge discount and snap back when cash market opens.
played Dax future and only made 147points ----chickened out. ....well better than loss!!


  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 9 2020, 12:58 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

soooooooooooooooo amazing
every time----i meant EVERY TIME
when there is big sell off the board here gets extremely quit ......

C'mon peoples, world won't be end , need you guys come out throw idea around doesn't matter right or wrong, we are here to talk about. tongue.gif

looks like a panic is sets in, as US future hits the limited down levels .

to me this sharp sell off on oil is good thing for people----it's like big rate cut for everyone..

think about fuel price under a buck for us!! lmaosmiley.gif



  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 9 2020, 09:58 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

i got that --------fear is reaching some sorta pain level at current market.

i just had scalping long trade for Japs market made over 200 points and closed out with good profit.

keep looking at then ---for unrealistic extreme move for all major index atm

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 9 2020, 09:04 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

asx200

support zone [ medium term] 5900----6000.
so what we do face of another wave of sell offs that triggered by oil war between Saudi vs Russia??

wait till market settles or just jump in buy a small stake???? unsure.gif


for traders keep 2 and 5 minutes charts on , another chance of scalping in this mad market. tongue.gif

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 6 2020, 11:36 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/06/us-jobs-rep...ruary-2020.html

Nonfarm payrolls grew far more than expected in February as companies continued to hire amid a growing coronavirus scare.

The Labor Department reported Friday that the U.S. economy added 273,000 new jobs during the month, while the unemployment rate was 3.5%

Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been looking for payroll growth of 175,000 and a 3.5% jobless level.

=================

i guess next month this number will be a big drop.....................

market seems muted as the futures stay down big time still----after this NFP.

  Forum: Investment Discussion

early birds
Posted on: Mar 4 2020, 04:00 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/04/coronavirus...outh-korea.html

investors and economists said there’s not much monetary policy can do to save the global economy, especially when some major central banks — such as the European Central Bank and Bank of Japan — have already cut interest rates into the negative territory.

“The fact is, we’re coming into this crisis with far less ammunition globally. It’s not just Europe or Japan, even in China they have much less ammunition than the last time they had to launch a stimulus package,” Alex Wolf, J.P. Morgan Private Bank’s head of investment strategy in Asia, told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Asia

=========================

for F£$%%^^ sake .......the all these guru marketers know this just now?????

keep printing----untill all economy get a something call the " hype inflation" that ignite first world war................. thumbdown.gif

looks like a short term rebound for major index tonight!!

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 3 2020, 09:26 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/01/awaiting-us...since-2008.html

The Dow closed 1,293.96 points higher, or 5.1%, at 26,703.32. The move on a percentage basis was the Dow’s biggest since March 2009. It was the largest-ever points gain for the 30-stock average.

======================================

so the rebound finally arrived .............. what's next?? another sell off at end of week ?? that would play right into my play book. tongue.gif

hope it does !!

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 2 2020, 01:56 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

this morning i were think " geee i'm lucky that i dumped most of long Friday night"

i went out to buy something. just got back home to see SPX back to 2980ish and ASX200 went over 6400 in one stage.
what the heck is going on???? i've been the market nearly 20 odd years, never seen this crazy move before.

news that market try to force RBA to cut rate again, but the rate already lower than 1% and housing market is run red hot again, how RBA gonna explain themself to the market???

anyway, who am i to judge RBA . i'm no body !! only learnt economic 101 from the so called experts !! cool.gif

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Mar 2 2020, 09:59 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

thought i did wrong thing that i dumped most of longs before I went to bed Friday night.

now seems i did right thing . never know how this market moves with news ......... weirdsmiley.gif

anyway, we all know chises economy gonna been hit really hard, now the data from china confirmed it...... but the reaction from market seems like they've been surprised ???? unsure.gif

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Feb 29 2020, 03:28 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

hi mate

so happy to see you back, provides us your good TA works. tongue.gif

please, stick with us , as time gets tough for a lots peoples here.


i bought a lot of SPX when it goes under 2900 and added shit load at 2860ish. but the shit part is that i sold most of them when it trade above 2910---2940ish. only had few left in hand. hope it pays me big time next week
i had tiny long position with DAX as well. aim it over 12150ish next week
made few buck with asx200. but don't have any left.

we might see all index have good size rebound early next week. then drop off again late next week. hope my "educated guess work" turn out to be good one next week.

really happy to see you post here cooderman!!
  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Feb 29 2020, 02:01 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

Dow dropped over 1000 points again in intraday
but Gold dropped nearly 60 bucks. that is really odd move. dosen't smell right to me.!!

freaking strange times. peoples need keep close eye on the yellow stuff.



  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Feb 28 2020, 06:15 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

a lot of shorts will be covered tonight at EU AND US market. i guess .

i bought few longs see how it goes tonight.

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Feb 28 2020, 07:54 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/02/27/heres-how-l...ey-can-get.html

Historical analysis shows these corrections result in a 13% decline and take about four months to recover to prior levels, on average.

But there’s one big caveat. This is only if it does not fall into bear market territory, down 20% from a high. If the losses stretch to 20%, then there’s more pain ahead and a longer recovery time.

====================

a potentially mother of all time bear market that makes history ...........i'm worried.
there is not much central bankers can do about, because they are almost run out of bullets
so as trumpie the big mouth , he can't help his mate to talk up the market anymore.

any way
asx200-----support zone
6370-----6388. can't hold there then opens up down side to 6000

keep some cash in hand --in case when the time to pick up goodies... tongue.gif
  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Feb 27 2020, 07:10 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

sold the rest of SPX longs at target 3100 just minutes ago.

search other trade...... eye on WTI crude, looks little over sold and most of US shale will lose money when the price is under us$50...


  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Feb 27 2020, 06:24 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

the low fuel price might save them go to bust.
really tough time for the logistic sector. so sad for them.

  Forum: Investment Discussion

early birds
Posted on: Feb 27 2020, 05:04 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

sold half of my SPX LONGS . not too bad for an hour work. lmaosmiley.gif

yeah,,, i agree with you joules . all index went down too fast and too far. a bit of rebound then they might go down again.

freaking large swings for traders these days. keep hunting!!

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Feb 27 2020, 03:28 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

i bought few SPX longs 3065. target 3100 ish to night.

scalping few

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Feb 27 2020, 11:33 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

they can't manipulate this kinda market, so they use extreme thing. lmaosmiley.gif

dirty as$%^^&!

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Feb 26 2020, 01:03 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

stopped out at 6724 with 27 points profit .

keep trying other major index atm. scalping is the odder for all traders. ...long or short!!
this time trumpie can't do much with his big mouth to effect market and help his mate................ wink.gif

keep some powder dry nipper.
looks like a long over due correction ----at least.

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Feb 26 2020, 09:11 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

bought asx200 at open when it dip below 6700, now i'm trialed stops to 6724. target 6775 in two session.

for investor, even asx200 drop another 10% from here ---it still in the uptrend. so no hurry for investors. tongue.gif

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Feb 26 2020, 08:38 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

keep eye on market

SPX covered shorts under 3100 tonight or tomorrow. if you are a trader can try a to catch the near low for a good size bounce. say spx bounce to 3185ish

asx200--- again we might see a big drop when we open then a bounce back from 6688---6700 zone. towards 6775 level.

it's all for traders who have skills and brave enough to catch the falling knife ....like me!! lmaosmiley.gif i know i'm such a gambler !!

trades must be closed out before this weekend. long or short, win or lose!!

DYOR
  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Feb 25 2020, 07:08 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

A rough start to the week for global equities as they responded to the news over the weekend that despite China’s best efforts to contain, there had been a worrying increase in Covid-19 cases outside of China.

By the end of the session, the S&P 500 had erased the final remnants of its +5% year to date gains. And in the process, it answered the question we posed last Friday as to whether the S&P 500 could hold above the key 3330 support level to steady nervous markets.

In our recent articles and videos, we have alluded to the risks of a pullback in equities. Although given where markets were as news of the virus spread, it wasn’t a particularly brave call. Returning to Friday's article on the S&P 500 for a moment we said

“a break and close below 3330 would signal a retracement back to 3200 was underway.”

Similar to the USDPY move last week, the S&P 500 all but reached our 3200 target in super quick time and meeting our minimum objective. The tricky part for traders is what comes next? Specifically, should the dip be bought in anticipation of the uptrend returning or should bounces be sold?

As pointed out by the excellent Charlie Bilello on Twitter, the correction over the past few days is the S&P 500’s 26th fall of 5% or greater since the GFC March 2009 low, before the uptrend has resumed. The dispersion of the falls is varied, while most have been between 5% and 10% there have been two greater than +20%. Hence there are risks in assuming the current decline is over.

In the short term, I would expect sellers to emerge and cap rallies on bounces towards the breakdown level 3300/3320.

In the medium term, I will be closely watching the band of support between 3210 and 3180 for signs that the S&P 500 is attempting to put in a place a base. Keeping in mind, should the S&P 500 break/close much below 3180 it would open the way for the decline to extend towards the 200 day moving average 3070/3050 area.
================

DYOR as always!!
  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Feb 25 2020, 09:02 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/202...inally-sell-off


if DOW drops another 500 points tonight. it might be a rebound in intraday . for traders only [ 200ma sits at 27300 ish]
if a long term investor, should've stay away from this type of pull back.

because if Dow drops another 3000 points and it still in the bull market. that is how high the index running so far..
  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Feb 24 2020, 12:17 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

stopped out again for hsi.

been stopped out a lot lately . seems have to coo; my self down a bit. too much " over night events" to affecting the market .

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Feb 20 2020, 12:38 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

stopped out for the longs with HSI.
it's bit hard to trade at moment.

  Forum: Investment Discussion

early birds
Posted on: Feb 20 2020, 10:03 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/02/19/goldman-say...e-probable.html


Equity markets are looking increasingly exposed to near-term downward surprises to earnings growth,” Oppenheimer said. “While a sustained bear market does not look likely, a near-term correction is looking much more probabl

====================================
well, we've been warned countless times by now. but market still make new highs???? unsure.gif
thanks all the central bankers---------------------

  Forum: Investment Discussion

early birds
Posted on: Feb 20 2020, 09:57 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

SPX ---my trailed stops , only made 8 points profit for the shorts that i took day before.

but bought few longs for hsi at 27575. now i trailed stops at 27500.

not much to trade on at moment. from my eye of course .

hope you guys can tell here what you spotted in the market. tongue.gif




  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Feb 18 2020, 10:50 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

SPX.
if it falls off from apple's earning miss here. then down side target is 3300ish to my TA turn{ short term ----more like week or two]
stops just at 3385 if shorted at 3375.
RSI showing clear divergence with the price.......

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Feb 14 2020, 01:04 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

took the shorts for HSI last night. but got stopped out just now.

bulls seems not even afraid pf weekend anymore?? unsure.gif

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Feb 10 2020, 06:28 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

the evidence all point to weak economy ahead of us.
but the market been pumped up by PBOC this time , seems every central bank are busy to print money these days/

anyway , i/m on the fans atm.
if some of you have ideas then please share it here, tongue.gif

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Feb 5 2020, 08:42 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

stopped out again. weirdsmiley.gif

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Feb 5 2020, 11:21 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

shorted hsi again at 26850. stops set 27100 target 26250. small size

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Feb 4 2020, 12:26 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

my shorts on HSI just been stopped out. it's ok for me.
i know try to work out the entry level is really hard due to those virus.. policies eg. for long or short

agree with you ------smaller size

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Feb 3 2020, 10:03 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

sorry!! should say " 25900--56000" support for HSI short term!! typo!
getting old and can't see properly !!


  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Feb 3 2020, 09:56 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

i put stops just above 26550. where do you prefer for the stops from your TA reading????

i kinda think HSI will test that 25900--29000 short term support again this week.......... might be go long there?? unsure.gif

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Feb 3 2020, 11:54 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

as i expected HSI had sizeble rebound -----500 odd points up from Friday's {last session} close.

time to place shorts joules???? 26415ish as i'm typing.

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Feb 2 2020, 04:19 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

yeah, mate
if we sees sizeble rebound on monday, should we short into HSI, so it will entered bear market late on???? unsure.gif
what level should we place the shorts??

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Feb 2 2020, 11:14 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/s/2020-02...vy9515930.shtml

A股不哭:央行"开市后提供充足流动性" 30个措施护航



《通知》强调,金融系统要加强党的领导,增强“四个意识”,坚定“四个自信”,做到â€
œä¸¤ä¸ªç»´æŠ¤â€ï¼Œåˆ‡å®žæŠŠæ€æƒ³å’Œè¡ŒåŠ¨ç»Ÿä¸€åˆ°ä¹ è¿‘平总书记的重要指示精神上来,把打赢疫情防控阻击战作ä¸
ºå½“前重大政治任务,全力以赴做好各项金融服务工作

==================================

it says
A share don't cry. chinese reserve bank will provide plenty liquidity , and proide 30 ways to support financial market/

and it is reserve bank to do their part to stabilize market, to get market react to this virus orderly and rationally , reserve bank will do their best to support this fighting virus war as central Gov. and Xi asked.
it is political agenda !!!
==============

wow..!!!!!!!!!!! political agenda !! sound like china commie !! lmaosmiley.gif but expecting A50 and HK market to have some sort of rebound on this news?? unsure.gif

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Jan 29 2020, 09:59 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

Small villages in China are barricading themselves in against the coronavirus. They are not acting on government orders but taking matters into their own hands.

We came across six in Hebei, the province surrounding Beijing which has seen one death from novel coronavirus.

Handwritten signs at street entrances say: "No outsiders allowed in."

Others have taken it further: at Xikangzhuang village, in Baoding, they have built entire walls out of brick.

We spoke to one man through a gap in the barrier. "Our village built this," he said. "To stop outsiders coming to our village - to reduce the number of people coming in."

https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/world/no-out...pqUe?li=AAgfYrC

===================================

i don't know that imbecile guy in the link whom will call these village stupid people??? to me , they are the same selfish idiots ----whether they've been educated or not.
i just wondering if put them in the same cage, what's the out come will be???? unsure.gif

chaos!!!!!!!!!
  Forum: Investment Discussion

early birds
Posted on: Jan 28 2020, 12:48 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/other/educat...vice/ar-BBZo3iy


Trinity Grammar and Newington College are among the expensive Sydney schools that have told students who have visited China not to attend for two weeks along with at least 10 Victorian schools that have put their parents on alert.

"I would say to all schools that they should be following the advice of the health department, that is the clear position of the Australian government," Mr Tehan told ABC radio.


China has blocked people from Wuhan, the capital of Hubei province, and other cities in the area from travelling. Mr Tehan said the government was still trying to work out how many students would be barred from getting to Australian universities as a result.
==============================================

can someone tell him that money will lost it's function at special moment???? lmaosmiley.gif

what chaos!!!!!!!! seems no one mention Davos or clime change any more lmaosmiley.gif !!

  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: Jan 28 2020, 11:44 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://twitter.com/MgOqkzLBRPLCHyN/status/...%2F9060035.html


the headline says ------------------in this moment money lost it's function!!!

it is about people try to buy food{ rice} , so they can stay home , that will less chance to be affected by the virus . kit is other cities, not in wuhang .
people really scared in china.


  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: Jan 28 2020, 10:17 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

in NSW , WE HAVE 4 CONFIRMED case of people come from wuhan or contacted people from there. in a place called estwood , had empty car park on first date of luner new year . that suburb is full of chinese residents..

there is three colleges ask their students don't come to school for two weeks if the students come back from china.

called my brother who lives in shanghai he said " people demand shanghai mayer to step down because of : why he let people from wuhang in to the city earlier?"

in front of these contegious disease , everyone just think of themselfs safety. so the guy in the link is just stupid and selfish as others .----same shit different smell. IMHO.

  Forum: Investment Discussion

early birds
Posted on: Jan 24 2020, 09:14 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

Bridgewater Associates co-chief investment officer Bob Prince went as far as to suggest “we’ve probably seen the end of the boom-bust cycle” in markets.

But there is some grumbling. European bankers are fed up with the ECB’s negative interest rates. ABN Amro CEO Kees van Dijkhuizen said yesterday they were “not a good place to be.”

Scott Minerd of Guggenheim Partners began the week complaining loose monetary policies had led to a “Ponzi scheme” in credit markets that would ultimately collapse.

How will the central bankers respond? Likely by arguing that they’ve been acting in a bid to ignite inflation that runs beneath their targets. Don’t expect any change in monetary policy for a while is their message.

But with rates so low, they’re also likely to intensify their push for governments to do more to spur demand.

“Monetary policy has served us well,” International Monetary Fund Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said in an interview. “It can’t be the only savior of global growth. We are keen to see governments stepping up on the policy front.”


=================================
really amazed ......... how these in the position to call the shots that will keep this super low rate policy " ponzi schene" going??? are they blind?? or they just do these things to keep their job??
where is the economic 101???

  Forum: Investment Discussion

early birds
Posted on: Jan 23 2020, 10:14 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/01/22/wuhan-suspe...media-says.html



https://www.cnbc.com/2020/01/22/who-postpon...-emergency.html

=========================

lunar new year for chinese is coming . i guess people still remember SARS IN 2003 that cause a lot of damages that time. and hurt economy as well.
bad timing for market bulls.

but still bullish as far as price action goes .

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Jan 18 2020, 10:02 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

may be this is the prop thread?? don't know where to put this laughing thingy.............................
================

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/are-you-f...7?mod=home-page

Are you f—ing kidding me?’ Monica Lewinsky appears to respond to Ken Starr’s joining the Trump defense team

==================

honna be make Mrs Clinton so proud .................. lmaosmiley.gif ..........

PS, don't like doing gossies much, but this is a real funny one.....................
  Forum: Off Topic Chat

early birds
Posted on: Jan 17 2020, 09:08 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

took few shorts on SPX when US market start cash market trading, and added more shorts this morning when it closed.

my stops for SPX is set at 3350, target for the down side is 3260 within a week.
trade is set, this time i rather bet little more than i like for this choppy market. it's Friday, don't think many willing hold long position through the weekend........

trying to pick the bottom and top of the markets is a looser's game, but 20 years on i still playing this 'foolish game' some times. just with far better knowledge , stop loss to protecting myself.

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Jan 16 2020, 10:30 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-last-...5?mod=home-page


Over-priced IPOs usually occur toward the end of a long bull run when stocks in general become very overpriced,” Lamensdorf wrote. “Why does this happen? Generally because investors have lost their sense of reality. They are willing to buy stocks on hyped stories instead of the facts.”

In other words, investment bankers, he explained, pounce on the opportunity to stuff the stock market — or, as the expression goes, feed the pigs — with overpriced companies as long as the public has an appetite for risk.

=============================
what they say???????????? ahhh history dose rhyme.

not try to scared bulls here. just to flash some lights...................... devilsmiley.gif

  Forum: Investment Discussion

early birds
Posted on: Jan 16 2020, 10:08 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/01/14/warren-dema...n-iran-tip.html
Presidential contender Elizabeth Warren is demanding a federal investigation into whether President Donald Trump provided advance notice of the deadly strike on Iran’s Gen. Qasem Soleimani to stock traders who may have profited illegally from the tip.

---------------------------


https://www.cnbc.com/2020/01/15/irans-rouha...iddle-east.html


U.S. troops are “insecure” in the region today, and EU troops “might be in danger tomorrow,” Rouhani declared, according to a Reuters translation, marking the first time the leader has directed a threat toward European forces in the region. He demanded the U.S. leave and accused it of making the region insecure, saying it should “apologize to Tehran” for its “previous crimes.”

-------------------------------------

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/01/15/china-trade...ossibility.html

===================================


weak up in the morning to read all these type of headline, with US market in clear over bought zone. my finger is itchy for the shorts..........
  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Jan 15 2020, 04:51 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

from FA point of view

even Peter Costello warned investors about record low rate around world, too much risk for risky assets................. from today's AFR.

as i said ----we have no way to know that WHEN the bomb will be off... but when it dose we will see a lot of sorry ass....that include all those major central bankers...



  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Jan 15 2020, 04:23 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687


Actually, while you TA chaps are waiting for the next big kill, how much credence do you all put on RSI??

===============

when daily and weekly RSI all into over bought zone ----above 70's , then a sizeable pull back from index comodities , currencies .these heavy traded thingy.
it worked for me many years by now. if you guys look at historic chart, you can see that clearly. no need fancy tech , very straight forward.
of course , there is NO bullet prof algorithm or formula that works all the time.
RSI just one of many indicators ----in this case works for me most of time, now i can see it flash warning sign , so i put up my one bob for peoples here.
it's all just my humble opinion .
hope you guys put up yours like joules ,mick nipper............
we share it to each other either you agree it or not . tongue.gif


  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Jan 15 2020, 09:48 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

i know i use too much of TA stuff.

keep it simple
US market is way overbought. i think a correction will come very soon if it is not by this weekend.
it's just me.!!!!!!!! am not a permabear , but do see dangers this time. it's liquidity driven rally, and most of central banks nearly run out of bullets.

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Jan 15 2020, 08:09 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

today, we will see so called " phase one deal" be signed
but i reckon it will be the case of " sell the news" event' because the deal it self didn't solve anything

my finger is on the short side button for SPX DAX eg,,,,
  Forum: Investment Discussion

early birds
Posted on: Jan 15 2020, 08:01 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

thanks mick for the warning.

i try to give little bit of TA
I use RSI to see if the index is over bought or not [10 ,0]
SPX
daily RSI just over 70 [just into over bought zone] but it hit ober 80's just weeks before. now the price made all time high and RSI isn't . if it turn to down side then we can see clearly divergence between RSI and price action.
weekly..... now that is something scary----RSI is reading over 81

so for SPX we should be really cautious ---for the up side
timing is the devil for all the marketers, but little knowledge for both TA and FA will help ---IMHO.


as for ASX200
aud/usd 'S movement will have big impact , if guys noticed.....

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Jan 8 2020, 04:45 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

for the current market condition
if you guessed right about what's the end game you can make a kill
but if you guessed wrong---you could be killed

tiny position to speculate it ....that is ok. don;t risk too much of one's capital. imho

wall of worry?? we do have real worries atm.

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Jan 8 2020, 09:31 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

markets had sudden drop few minutes before as i typing
news is 6 rockets dropped on US air base in Iraq.

headline driven-----
  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Jan 6 2020, 04:18 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

market sentiment looked kinda really bearish joules

asx200, bids up might due to AUD weakness ...

i guess markets is in a " rather safe than sorry" mode atm.

on the fence would be good move imho.

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Jan 3 2020, 06:05 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

i meant to say index and some large stocks just had or about to breakout upside and take good run up
but this headline clearly ruin the bull party. imho

buy the dips?? it's been worked as long as this super bull market lasting to this far
if one worry about the music stopped suddenly then a stop loss point or level will protect your capital.

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Jan 3 2020, 12:35 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

Oil prices rocket almost 4% after reports that a key Iranian general was killed in Iraq airstrike

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/01/03/oil-prices-...-airstrike.html

====================

really bad headline at bad timing for the bulls.................
  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Jan 3 2020, 12:37 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

6735------i shouldi say. make mistakes when you in a rush. thumbdown.gif

AUD goes under 70cps and asx 200 goes up.

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Jan 2 2020, 08:08 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

as i typing asx200 just hit 5735 ----my short term target .

booked my profits for at start of 2020. good start!! tongue.gif

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Jan 2 2020, 10:58 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

happy new year mate and to others who ever watch this thread.

as AUD went on for a good size rebound, so asx200 got knocked around as a lot of asx200 top20 stocks duel listing at other major stock exchanges.

from pure TA asx200 due for a rebound. not sure about the size. for really short term targeted 5735ish. imho

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Dec 11 2019, 08:56 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

seems retail investors see value for WBC at it's current price.
they gave WBC $770m at 24.20,

we might see stock price pop up today!!

  Forum: By Share Code

early birds
Posted on: Dec 10 2019, 11:58 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/12/10/stock-marke...all-street.html

Stock futures turn positive on report US and China are planning for a delay of December tariffs

================

i thought i did right thing to have a shorts on this market ..... as i'm smile that i did right thing then comes this..........poooooooooo!
covered all the shorts, and siting on the fence .................

  Forum: Investment Discussion

early birds
Posted on: Dec 9 2019, 08:46 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

sound like board infighting ----bad sign for the Co.

  Forum: By Share Code

early birds
Posted on: Dec 6 2019, 11:38 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/12/06/stock-marke...all-street.html

The U.S. economy added 266,000 jobs in November, according to figures released by the Labor Department. Economists polled by Dow Jones expected a gain of 187,000.

Treasury yields climbed to their session highs after the data was released. The benchmark 10-year yield traded at 1.86% while the 2-year rate was at 1.63%

==================

market popped up om this news. looks x-mas comes earlier cool.gif


  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Dec 5 2019, 08:33 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

asx200 at 6703 as i type. done my job.
only left tiny stake ----to see how high it can run tomorrow!!

tongue.gif

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Dec 5 2019, 11:08 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

am still hold few longs atm

already got my money back from last night's loss. currently sit on some profit as well .
try to target 6700ish before this weekend with stops at 6645. will move it higher once it go over 6675 again!!
sounds good idea??

  Forum: Macro Factors

early birds
Posted on: Dec 5 2019, 08:49 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 12,687

as i guessed ---other major market all rebound strongly from the last two days sell offs.

asx200 looked for up day??

  Forum: Macro Factors

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