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Index Trading, xjo, dow, dax, ftse
nipper
post Posted: Jul 30 2019, 10:11 AM
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In Reply To: early birds's post @ Jul 30 2019, 08:42 AM

what are we going to do with (in) this booming market?
With the SPI up 33 and physical market looking to follow, those 2007 "peaks" are likely to be surpassed. Doubtless the journals of record will be all over it by days end.



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"Every long-term security is nothing more than a claim on some expected future stream of cash that will be delivered into the hands of investors over time. For a given stream of expected future cash payments, the higher the price investors pay today for that stream of cash, the lower the long-term return they will achieve on their investment over time." - Dr John Hussman

"If I had even the slightest grasp upon my own faculties, I would not make essays, I would make decisions." ― Michel de Montaigne

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early birds
post Posted: Jul 30 2019, 08:42 AM
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https://www.cnbc.com/2019/07/29/stock-marke...d-rate-cut.html

Despite a healthy economy and an unemployment rate under 4%, investors widely expect the central bank to cut its benchmark lending rate for the first time since 2008 by 25 basis points. The Fed, which seeks to keep inflation around 2%, has had trouble sustaining price growth in recent months despite a healthy economy and low unemployment.
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for US market..... sell on news?? i meant to say " soon Fed cut rate by 25 pips", sell into market!!?? unsure.gif

asx200---- cash market is 50 points over future market, not sure where it will go today.



 
early birds
post Posted: Jul 2 2019, 08:59 AM
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https://www.afr.com/news/economy/another-rb...y_Sent=02072019

The Australian Financial Review Rich Lister and shopping centre billionaire Con Makris and the chief executive of the largest collection of convenience shopping centres in Australia Anthony Mellowes both said cutting rates would not send the right signal.

"It will panic the people," Mr Makris said.

"Consumers already know the economy is not good and they are going to keep trying to save and they won't go out and spend,'' he said.


They should be leaving them where they are for quite a while and then start moving them up very slowly."
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lmaosmiley.gif , everyone can see that rate cut at current rate level and time is not effective.

 
early birds
post Posted: Jul 1 2019, 09:15 AM
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In Reply To: Mork's post @ Jun 29 2019, 05:16 PM

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/06/30/dow-futures...re-tariffs.html

That surge came after stocks recovered in June from a torrid May performance. The Dow soared 7.2% in June, its biggest gain for that month since 1938. The S&P 500, meanwhile, jumped 7.9% for the month, marking its best June performance since 1955.

President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping agreed not to impose new levies on U.S. and Chinese goods after meeting on the sidelines of the G-20 summit in Osaka, Japan on Saturday.

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is markets get too exited about this outcome???? unsure.gif the problem still not solved ---to me !! unsure.gif



 
Mork
post Posted: Jun 29 2019, 05:16 PM
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In Reply To: joules mm1's post @ Jun 29 2019, 03:14 PM

I posted what i saw as the possibilities for wave B back in March. The way i apply EW has exhausted all possibilities for this part of the count.
Likewise my long term count since the 2008 top has exhausted the alternatives which has been the case for the last 5 or 6 years.
We'll be able to judge the validity of the count shown below over the coming months.

If anyone is willing to share their long term EW counts (10 - 15yrs +) i'll do a chart from the 2007 top with my count.

Cheers



 
joules mm1
post Posted: Jun 29 2019, 03:14 PM
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In Reply To: Mork's post @ Jun 29 2019, 02:50 PM

may we see your alternate count, please ?
alternate counts give a traders perspective 'balance', as best it can be balanced based on their technique of applying the EW principle(traders often develop an unconscious technique of applying the EWP while feeling they have an advantage BY applying the EWP)





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. . . . . . . . everything has an art.....in the instance of the auction process, the only thing, needed to be listened to; price

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Mork
post Posted: Jun 29 2019, 02:50 PM
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My elliotwave count update from earlier in the the year.
I'm looking for wave B to complete some time this week.

I'm still looking for wave C to last until the end of 2019 / early 2020. XJO has been outperforming so wave C should complete higher than the lows of Dec 2018.

I've still got the same projection for SP500

After this wave C is complete i have some really bullish projections for the XJO

Attached Image





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early birds
post Posted: Jun 24 2019, 11:06 AM
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https://www.sharecafe.com.au/2019/06/24/dia...fy-g20-meeting/

Analysts say we should watch for fund managers of all sizes and some companies trying to dress up their end of financial year, half year (interim) quarter and month figures by buying and selling shares to set market prices or stuffing their balance sheets with cash.

They are all old tricks and include companies delaying payments to the start of the 2019-20 financial year, or getting pre-payments into their accounts to boost liquidity and cash holdings at the end of the financial year, the quarter or half year.

Share trading this Thursday and Friday should see the share prices of quite a few companies move a touch oddly at times.

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ahhh---ha----that good old "window dressing" time lmaosmiley.gif

no shorts should be fired at asx200 this week. full stop!




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early birds
post Posted: Jun 18 2019, 10:04 AM
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asx200

looks really bullish as AUD keeps dropping
6600 seems won't stop it from rise further ........



 
nipper
post Posted: Jun 17 2019, 02:00 PM
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QUOTE
The world's largest asset manager, which runs some of the cheapest investment products available, plans to place a greater focus on the quality of the engineering, construction and management of its funds going forward, according to Armando Senra, who recently took over as head of the firm's exchange-traded fund business for the US, Canada and Latin America.

"There's too much emphasis purely on cost," said Senra, speaking at a press event on the "megatrends" that BlackRock sees driving global growth. "We don't talk enough about quality. That's not to say we're not going to be competitive -- we have to be competitive, this is a competitive industry -- but I would move away from just a low-cost conversation."
Management fees have been under intense pressure for years, but that crossed a new milestone earlier this year when one ETF provider offered to pay investors to buy its product.

BlackRock has already lowered the cost of its broad indexed products to as little as 30 cents for every $1000 invested, but it's now developing more sophisticated funds that can also justify higher fees. The firm is creating ETFs based on what it calls "megatrends" that go beyond traditional sectors and geographic focuses. Thematic ETFs, which look at stocks across industries in areas like artificial intelligence or electric cars, have grown to almost $US47 billion ($68 billion) in the US, according to data from Bloomberg Intelligence.

While that pales in comparison to the roughly $US3 trillion across stock ETFs, assets have more than doubled over the last two years. These funds charge an average $US6.50 for every $US1000 invested, versus the $US4.90 charged by stock ETFs.

BlackRock will focus on five themes: technological breakthrough, demographics and social change, rapid urbanisation, climate change and resource scarcity, and emerging global wealth.

The company started two funds based on those ideas lat week: the iShares Cybersecurity and Tech ETF, which will trade as IHAK, and the iShares Genomics Immunology and Healthcare ETF, aka IDNA. Both will charge $US4.70.



--------------------
"Every long-term security is nothing more than a claim on some expected future stream of cash that will be delivered into the hands of investors over time. For a given stream of expected future cash payments, the higher the price investors pay today for that stream of cash, the lower the long-term return they will achieve on their investment over time." - Dr John Hussman

"If I had even the slightest grasp upon my own faculties, I would not make essays, I would make decisions." ― Michel de Montaigne

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