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The future of airlines
nipper
post Posted: Jan 30 2021, 04:01 PM
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COVID Carnage Continues in US Airline Sector

https://www.sharecafe.com.au/2021/01/29/cov...airline-sector/
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on Thursday .... two of America's biggest airline companies , American and Southwest , posted their biggest-ever annual losses and indicated a need for new aid in addition to the billions already provided in 2020. A third, smaller airline, JetBlue Airways also posted a quarterly loss on Thursday in a day of red ink for the sector.

In December, US airlines received a $US15 billion government aid package for payroll costs through March, the second such program since the coronavirus swept over America in march and April.

That took the total for the year for the airline sector to a massive $US40 billion and has enabled them to hang on to more than 40,000 employees who otherwise might have been sacked. As it is the sector has already laid off tens of thousands of staff......




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"Every long-term security is nothing more than a claim on some expected future stream of cash that will be delivered into the hands of investors over time. For a given stream of expected future cash payments, the higher the price investors pay today for that stream of cash, the lower the long-term return they will achieve on their investment over time." - Dr John Hussman

"If I had even the slightest grasp upon my own faculties, I would not make essays, I would make decisions." ― Michel de Montaigne
 
mullokintyre
post Posted: Dec 11 2020, 12:14 PM
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From The Age

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Uber's sale of its aviation division has raised questions about its plans for up to 1000 commercial flying taxis in Melbourne from 2023.

In an abrupt change of direction the US tech giant this week sold its autonomous driving car division to Aurora and its "aerial mobility" division Uber Elevate (also known as Uber Air) to startup Joby Elevation.

Uber agreed to pay Joby $US75 million ($100 million) to take over its operations that sought to make flying taxis and helicopter rides a reality.


Geez, they pay some startup company $75 million to take it off their hands , then call it a sale???
the PR guys at UBER must have all once worked for a government department.

This was never going to get off the ground anywhere(excuse the pun).

Perhaps in a third world country where are no existing cars or planes to speak of, it may have worked.
But who would need UBER air taxis in a country that poor?

Mick



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nipper
post Posted: Oct 30 2020, 08:17 PM
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Was at a friend's place in Drummoyne this afternoon (under the flight path), and I swear it was like the old days ... From 4:30 to 6pm, there was a plane coming in to land every 5 minutes



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"Every long-term security is nothing more than a claim on some expected future stream of cash that will be delivered into the hands of investors over time. For a given stream of expected future cash payments, the higher the price investors pay today for that stream of cash, the lower the long-term return they will achieve on their investment over time." - Dr John Hussman

"If I had even the slightest grasp upon my own faculties, I would not make essays, I would make decisions." ― Michel de Montaigne
 
nipper
post Posted: Sep 18 2020, 07:23 PM
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A key trend is the dramatic reduction of air cargo capacity as a result of the significant loss of commercial airline capacity. Current estimates indicate that freighter capacity now accounts for 66% of total air capacity on the Transatlantic lane; 83% on the Trans Pacific; and 80% on the Europe to Asia lane. This compares to pre COVID freighter capacity of 33% for Transatlantic; 59% for Trans-Pacific and 50% for Europe to Asia.


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Pre COVID, we projected that the US domestic market would hit 100 million packages per day by calendar year 2026. We now project that the US domestic parcel market will hit this mark by calendar year 2023, pulling volume projections forward by three years from the previous expectations. E-commerce fuelled substantially by this pandemic is driving the extraordinary growth

Brie Carere, Chief Marketing Officer, FedEx Corporation



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"Every long-term security is nothing more than a claim on some expected future stream of cash that will be delivered into the hands of investors over time. For a given stream of expected future cash payments, the higher the price investors pay today for that stream of cash, the lower the long-term return they will achieve on their investment over time." - Dr John Hussman

"If I had even the slightest grasp upon my own faculties, I would not make essays, I would make decisions." ― Michel de Montaigne
 
balance
post Posted: Sep 6 2020, 11:14 AM
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In Reply To: mullokintyre's post @ Sep 5 2020, 07:38 PM

It is odd that a move back towards reciprocating engines of any fuel type would seem at odds with the amazing development of hi bypass jet engines since WW2. Engines that suck, squeeze, bang and blow (yes it is a crude golden oldie) just cannot match gas turbines.

The old Allison 250 for example and its many variants, produce > 230kw from an engine weighing less than 70kg.
2 of those would produce more power then its 12 cylinder diesel and i suspect weigh in considerably less.
The Allison has been around since the 60s and no doubt more efficient power plants have been produced since.
Unless they have a magic light weight diesel design I just cant see it.
Having the diesel hidden in the fuselage would reduce drag but the same goes for internally mounted gas turbines.




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mullokintyre
post Posted: Sep 5 2020, 07:38 PM
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In Reply To: nipper's post @ Aug 30 2020, 08:52 AM

This design looks suspiciously like the Learfan, designed by the Legendary Bill Lear of Learjet fame, unfortunately he died before it went into production.
It was also going to revolutionise air travel, but I doubt too many people have even heard of it, much less know any of its performance figures.
One of the problems is that so much of what has been written is just sales talk.
As ana example, they suggest that the design has a 59% reduction in drag. But compared to what? A Tiger moth? A Brick?
And even if this reduction in drag was comparable to say an Airbus A320, the claim that there is a 5 -7 times reduction in fuel consumption just doesn't equate.
The 12 cylinder diesel is also a bit of a worry.
Diesel engines, because of their high compression, need to be extremely strong , which rather negates the use of lightweight alloys.
TDM, Thielart and a few others have been trying to develop diesel engines with largely uneconomic results.
It may well revolutionise air travel, unfortunately history and the odds are running strongly against it.
Mick



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nipper
post Posted: Aug 30 2020, 08:52 AM
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I am wondering if this will take the transport industry by storm. It is an interesting advance.

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Private plane travel could be coming to the masses. A US company has unveiled a futuristic aircraft billed as an alternative to executive jets which can be hired for the price of an airline ticket. Developed in secret for a decade, the bullet-shaped plane, the Celera 500L, has intrigued the aviation world since it was spotted at Victorville in the Mojave high desert in 2017. Otto Aviation unveiled its creation during the week, saying the revolutionary plane had made 31 test flights since November and proved itself to be "the most fuel-efficient, commercially viable aircraft in existence".


The makers claim performance that seems incredible by conventional standards. Driven by a 12-cylinder diesel engine that turns a "pusher" propeller on its tail, the plane is said to fly at 450mph (724km/h), the speed of light jets, with operating costs of £250 ($453) an hour, six times lower than similar-sized business jets. Fuel consumption at 18 to 25 miles (29km to 40km) a gallon (about 3.8 litres) is an eighth of that of a small jet. The wide bullet shape of the six-passenger, fixed-wing aircraft promotes laminar flow, meaning that the oncoming air passes around its fuselage and wings smoothly without the turbulence that causes drag in more conventional craft. Bill Otto, a veteran aerospace scientist who founded the company, said the Celera was due to enter service in 2023. It was the ideal plane for the post-coronavirus world, he said. It would serve as a long-distance air taxi for families or small groups with seats costing no more per person than a commercial flight. "Of course, we didn't anticipate Covid-19 but there are enhanced market opportunities in being able to afford to fly with only those you choose to," he told CNN. Unlike the slow, short-range drone-style air taxis under development, the Celera will have a relatively long range and will be able to fly non-stop anywhere in America, for example, its makers claim. "Our goal was to create a private aircraft that would allow for direct flights between any city pair in the US at speeds and cost comparable to commercial air travel," Mr Otto said. While other plane-makers are racing to build electric or hybrid aircraft, the Celera is betting on internal combustion. Its German-made Red Aircraft A03 powerplant can burn jet fuel or bio-diesel, producing more than 550hp. The company is planning a second model, twice the size of its 500, which may use a hybrid electric and internal combustion engine.
The Times



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"Every long-term security is nothing more than a claim on some expected future stream of cash that will be delivered into the hands of investors over time. For a given stream of expected future cash payments, the higher the price investors pay today for that stream of cash, the lower the long-term return they will achieve on their investment over time." - Dr John Hussman

"If I had even the slightest grasp upon my own faculties, I would not make essays, I would make decisions." ― Michel de Montaigne

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nipper
post Posted: Aug 21 2020, 06:37 PM
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Australia has a new golden triangle for aviation, with Brisbane to Cairns & Townsville now seeing more flights and passengers than Sydney.. Melbourne .. Brisbane.

Qantas CEO Alan Joyce revealed on Thursday that Brisbane to Cairns had become the airlineís best performing route in the COVID crisis, with demand for flights exceeding that before the pandemic.

In the space of a few weeks, Qantas has increased services from 22 return flights a week, to 53 in response to demand, with the potential for more when state border restrictions are eased.

Brisbane-Townsville is the second most popular route nationwide with 44 return services a week across three airlines, and Brisbane-Mackay third, aided by the ongoing demand from the resources sector.

In contrast Sydney Melbourne Brisbane are each seeing just a couple of return flights a day between those cities, due to border restrictions limiting travel to essential workers or returning residents.

Itís a state of affairs Cairns Airport chief executive Norris Carter is well aware of, with ten flights a day from Brisbane delivering around 1500 people to the far north Queensland city.
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Pre COVID, Brisbane to Cairns was the countryís 11th more popular route, now itís the first, Mr Carter said. It means the airport is operating at about 25 per cent of pre COVID passengers across all the routes so we have still got some tourist activity happening.

A number of hotels in the city remained closed and a lot of businesses were hamstrung until international borders reopened, such was the reliance on foreign visitors.

In addition to the Brisbane to Cairns flights, the city was also seeing regular flights to Adelaide and Darwin, and looking forward to recommencement of Gold Coast services from September 1.

Townsville has also seen some recovery in recent months, with 58,490 passengers in July. more than the previous three months combined.

Owner Queensland Airports Limited which also operates Gold Coast, Mount Isa and Longreach Airports, was encouraged by the improvement.

Mr Joyce also highlighted the popularity of Perth-Broome flights, which the West Australian tourism spot welcomed.

Broome Chamber of Commerce president Peter Taylor said a deal by the state government with Qantas had delivered additional flights at cost effective rates, which had been hugely successful in getting tourists into Broome.



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"Every long-term security is nothing more than a claim on some expected future stream of cash that will be delivered into the hands of investors over time. For a given stream of expected future cash payments, the higher the price investors pay today for that stream of cash, the lower the long-term return they will achieve on their investment over time." - Dr John Hussman

"If I had even the slightest grasp upon my own faculties, I would not make essays, I would make decisions." ― Michel de Montaigne
 
nipper
post Posted: Jul 18 2020, 12:26 PM
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In Reply To: alonso's post @ Jul 18 2020, 12:12 PM

I read that Ballina* airport was one of the busiest in Australia in June. Flights from sthn states including direct from Canberra. Short runway so mainly prop jets. Rex, Qantas Link, Jetstar, AeroPelican and even Virgin flying to it; now Qld is open, and Melbourne in lockdown, the demand has dropped away.

*Now called Ballina Byron Gateway Airport



--------------------
"Every long-term security is nothing more than a claim on some expected future stream of cash that will be delivered into the hands of investors over time. For a given stream of expected future cash payments, the higher the price investors pay today for that stream of cash, the lower the long-term return they will achieve on their investment over time." - Dr John Hussman

"If I had even the slightest grasp upon my own faculties, I would not make essays, I would make decisions." ― Michel de Montaigne

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alonso
post Posted: Jul 18 2020, 12:12 PM
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In Reply To: nipper's post @ Jul 18 2020, 12:04 PM

Would be interesting to see what the numbers were for REX.



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