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Index Trading, xjo, dow, dax, ftse
early birds
post Posted: May 3 2019, 10:26 AM
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Australia's Huge Stock Rally Faces a Rude Awakening

Promises of easy monetary policy have sent Australia’s stocks soaring to the highest in more than a decade. But there’s a speed bump: Soft profit growth.

The benchmark S&P/ASX 200 Index has eluded a weakening economy and a deepening housing slump to soar near levels not seen since before the global financial crisis. Speculation that the Reserve Bank of Australia will cut interest rates has helped drive the gauge up more than 12 percent this year, but results from Australia’s biggest banks and third-quarter trading updates could cause the nation’s stocks to sputter.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/201...nd=premium-asia
==============

TA AND FA just not on the same page..... i'm really confused atm.





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early birds
post Posted: Apr 29 2019, 11:26 AM
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In Reply To: nipper's post @ Apr 28 2019, 06:37 PM

thanks nipper.
i did little dig while i'm in shanghai. aging problem are the problem for the whole world , but in china it is worse than others because of one child policy they use to have, now it start to bites chinese hard.
economy there isn't in good shape , but i went to a lot restaurants, they all seems doing ok. that means people still doing ok. everyone seems focus on "trade war" and think it will have good ending{ not sure why they are so confident}. they seems over confident for themselves . chinese Govt. still has iron grips on properties for the tie1 cities---try to put lid on the bubbly price.
they also try to push people to invest in stock market that give chinese economy a little boost . not sure it will work or not?? unsure.gif

come back to aussie market
asx200 looks gonna keeps going up for the wrong reason-----aussie dollar dropped. wink.gif other than that i don't see any reason for asx200 to hit all time high. but the TA looks that way.




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nipper
post Posted: Apr 28 2019, 06:37 PM
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In Reply To: early birds's post @ Apr 28 2019, 05:04 PM

- the Federal Reserve’s policy backflip might affect market sentiment
- potential flow-on effect of any inflationary signs in the US (but not yet?) .... In fact, it's all in the other direction right now:
QUOTE
In what was a short week in Australia, the S&P/ASX All Ordinaries Accumulation Index was led by the US market, rallying to an 11-year high and closing up 1.9% for the week.

On Wednesday, the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) announced that inflation rose at a lower than expected rate of 1.3% through the year to the March quarter 2019. After the weak inflation figure was released, the US dollar rose against the Australian dollar to the highest level since January.

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has previously acknowledged continued low inflation is a key condition to cutting interest rates. Thus far, three of the big four banks have predicted the RBA will reduce interest rates.

The week ahead : there are four key purchasing managers' index (PMI) releases next week
- Cyclical resources; doing well (but cyclical)
- and: there's an election in 3 weeks time



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"Every long-term security is nothing more than a claim on some expected future stream of cash that will be delivered into the hands of investors over time. For a given stream of expected future cash payments, the higher the price investors pay today for that stream of cash, the lower the long-term return they will achieve on their investment over time." - Dr John Hussman

"If I had even the slightest grasp upon my own faculties, I would not make essays, I would make decisions." ― Michel de Montaigne

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nipper
post Posted: Apr 28 2019, 06:28 PM
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Hard gig, eb. A path we all must take.

家庭是一切. (I hope I got that right)



--------------------
"Every long-term security is nothing more than a claim on some expected future stream of cash that will be delivered into the hands of investors over time. For a given stream of expected future cash payments, the higher the price investors pay today for that stream of cash, the lower the long-term return they will achieve on their investment over time." - Dr John Hussman

"If I had even the slightest grasp upon my own faculties, I would not make essays, I would make decisions." ― Michel de Montaigne

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early birds
post Posted: Apr 28 2019, 05:04 PM
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just got back from shanghai----nearly two moths with my sick mum who lives in a rehab center with all these oldies sickness---sadness.

looks not many trading index or to share the infos here.
i hope someone readers can feed me little bit....

 
early birds
post Posted: Feb 16 2019, 10:19 AM
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https://www.cnbc.com/2019/02/15/stocks-trum...s-in-focus.html

deal ??? nothing has been done yet. market jumped up for "hopes"

oh well, my shorts for index been crushed last night, all stopped out!! weirdsmiley.gif
such is life, have to admit my wrong analysis by take loss!

not sure where asx200 will go next monday.??? unsure.gif



 


early birds
post Posted: Feb 15 2019, 08:25 AM
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it is Friday, and most of the market been rallying all week till last night.

so we might see out right selling today for most of the major market.

take care for the traders today!!



 
early birds
post Posted: Jan 25 2019, 08:57 AM
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asx200

for today--------5875 to hold up side target 5925 . if it falls then we should see sellers come out . it's Friday.



 
early birds
post Posted: Jan 23 2019, 09:59 AM
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https://www.cnbc.com/2019/01/22/us-cancels-...ource-says.html

The White House rejected a trade planning meeting with Chinese counterparts this week due to outstanding disagreements between the two sides over the enforcement of intellectual property rules.
==================

that was the main reason for the sell off last night. SPX ----first support at 2603, if can't hold there then next support will be 2582ish. if still can't hold there then bulls can forget about it for short term, medium term.

for asx200 lets have look at 5750---5800 support zone, then 5700 has to hold for the bulls
all imho though
hope you guys can give different ideas, so we can form something better here!!



 
early birds
post Posted: Jan 16 2019, 06:31 PM
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In Reply To: Mork's post @ Jan 16 2019, 05:10 PM

thanks mork try to answer me.

but my question is..... can they close this trade before December 18, 2020, when SP droped to 2100 this year?? if it's option then they can trade it any time when market opens
so before it hit 34% drop{ in that case they gonna lose over $5b }, it will go through 2100 first. if they be able to trade it any time then they can't lose if market goes down from here, or market keeps going up from here on then they will lose big time witch they didn't mention it at all?? that was the part that confused hell out of me?? unsure.gif
thought it might be a special warrent {set for special date, and strike price}. not sure what is it.
ps, i'm not really good with options and warrents. so thanks mork anyway. really appreciated your input! tongue.gif





 
 


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