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Uranium, Discussion
The End of Nuclear Power?
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nipper
post Posted: Yesterday, 05:39 PM
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70 Years of Global Uranium Production by Country

Uranium was discovered just over 200 years ago in 1789 . .. .... The first commercial nuclear power plant came online in 1956. Before that, uranium production was mainly dedicated to satisfying military requirements.
.... However, the end of World War II marked the beginning of two events that changed the uranium industry . ... the Cold War and the advent of nuclear energy. Between 1960 and 1980, global uranium production increased by 53%. In 1960, 15 reactors were operating globally. By 1980, this number increased to 245.

https://elements.visualcapitalist.com/70-ye...ion-by-country/

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Overall, the top 10 countries accounted for 99% of global uranium production, and the majority of this came from the top three. However, global production has been on a downward trend since 2016, with a slight bump in 2019. The uranium market is at an inflection point, with tightening supply and rising demand.

As of 2020, mine production covered only 74% of world reactor requirements, and analysts expect the market deficit to continue through 2022.....



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"Every long-term security is nothing more than a claim on some expected future stream of cash that will be delivered into the hands of investors over time. For a given stream of expected future cash payments, the higher the price investors pay today for that stream of cash, the lower the long-term return they will achieve on their investment over time." - Dr John Hussman

"If I had even the slightest grasp upon my own faculties, I would not make essays, I would make decisions." ― Michel de Montaigne
 
nipper
post Posted: Sep 10 2021, 06:26 PM
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Ten years ago, the tsunami and then meltdown at Fukushima put paid to the Uranium market. There as a demand shock and prolonged downturn as mines shut or entered care and maintenance. The spot price traded in a depressed range of $US20 to $US30 a pound ... not nearly high enough to encourage production.
But after a decade in the shadows, the sector has been jolted back to life within just a few weeks thanks largely to the Sprott Physical Uranium Trust (SPUT). The vehicle is in the midst of a buying frenzy of physical uranium, taking supply out of the market and boosting the spot price to $US40.40 a pound ... its highest level in seven years.

QUOTE
There has been so much fuel on the floor of the uranium market given it has been such an undersupplied commodity, the portfolio manager of Tribeca's global natural resources fund, Ben Cleary, said. The match to set this on fire has been Sprott buying spot [uranium].

SPUT is the largest listed physical uranium fund and began trading on the Toronto Stock Exchange in July after Sprott Asset Management, a subsidiary of global precious metals investment manager Sprott Inc, purchased it from Uranium Participation Corp.

While the fund goal remained the same ... buying and holding uranium to provide investors with exposure to movements in its spot price ... the new SPUT structure as a trust allowed it to launch a $US300 million at the market offering on August 17, meaning it could issue units and raise cash to consistently purchase the commodity.

The strategy is similar to the London listed Yellow Cake PLC, which has also been buying and holding physical uranium, albeit at a slower rate. The company holds 13.3 million pounds of the commodity in storage in Canada and France as of its latest quarterly update in August.

SPUT has purchased 6 million pounds of uranium in the spot market and deployed more than $US200 million of its ATM in the past month.

.....

One broker has a preferred exposure in Paladin Energy, which plans to restart it Namibian mine, having placed it into care and maintenance in August 2018. The stock has tripled this year to 82. Shaw & Partners upgraded its price target from 56 to $1.00.
Boss Energy announced this week that the engineering process to restart its Honeymoon Project in South Australia is running well ahead of schedule. Its share price has surged more than 150 per cent this year to 26. Shaw upgraded its price target from 17 to 30. The broker made the same upgrade to Peninsula Energy, while boosting the Vimy Resources price target from 25 to 27. Shaw & Partners has a buy rating on all four stocks.



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"Every long-term security is nothing more than a claim on some expected future stream of cash that will be delivered into the hands of investors over time. For a given stream of expected future cash payments, the higher the price investors pay today for that stream of cash, the lower the long-term return they will achieve on their investment over time." - Dr John Hussman

"If I had even the slightest grasp upon my own faculties, I would not make essays, I would make decisions." ― Michel de Montaigne
 
mullokintyre
post Posted: Jul 26 2020, 01:19 PM
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The US govt is calling for tenders to develop small portablre nuclear reactpors to be used in space colonisation.
from DOD

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A reliable, durable energy source is a crucial element to enable the long-duration exploration of space and allow sustainable human presence in the harsh space environment. Battelle Energy Alliance, LLC (BEA), management and operating contractor of the Idaho National Laboratory, in collaboration with the Department of Energy (DOE) and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), puts forth this request for information (RFI) on innovative technologies and approaches for preliminary designs of a fission surface power (FSP) system to test and validate operation on the Moon.

This RFI will inform a subsequent request for proposals (RFP) for Phase 1, which will culminate with a preliminary design of a FSP engineering demonstration unit (FSP-EDU). NASA intends to sponsor a second competitive procurement for Phase II, which will include a final FSP design together with manufacturing, construction, and ground testing of a prototype FSP-EDU. Phase II will culminate with an additional test-qualified FSP flight system (FSP-FS) delivered to the launch site for deployment to the Moon. The RFI seeks responses from industry manufacturers and partnerships capable of designing, building, and operating the FSP-EDU and FSP-FS. The prototype FSP-EDU will resemble to the greatest extent practicable all aspects and features of an actual subsequent FSP-FS for deployment to the Moon, which must include extensibility to Mars.

Additionally, this RFI seeks responses which clearly detail specific technology maturation challenges, development risks, and tradeoffs associated with leveraging mature technologies versus developing nascent technologies. NASA, DOE, and BEA plan to take advantage of industry’s engineering design processes and practices throughout Phase I and Phase II, and will establish performance metrics for demonstrated operational reliability and robustness. BEA recommends that respondents consider forming partnerships to provide fully informed industry responses. The planned solicitation presumes industry partnerships will need to be formed with sources that have demonstrated capabilities in nuclear energy, power conversion systems and radiators and space flight hardware systems development, integration, launch and operation.

NASA, DOE, and BEA anticipate hosting a Government-Industry technical meeting via webcast in August 2020, an “Industry Day,” to facilitate further communications regarding the expectations of the complete program to develop and demonstrate the FSP-EDU and final FSP-FS for deployment to the Moon.



According to Time Magazine

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the plan includes two phases, described as first, "Developing a reactor design" and second: "building a test reactor, a second reactor be sent to the moon, and developing a flight system and lander that can transport the reactor to the moon."
That date seems extremely ambitious, also given that to be rocketed up into space by either NASA or SpaceX, the portable rectors would have to be under 7,700 pounds, would be capable of generating uninterrupted electricity of at least 10 kilowatts, and must be able to run autonomously for a minimum of ten years.


Numerous companies have for the past few years been developing portable nuclear power for earthly applications, including TerraPower, a Seattle-area venture backed by Microsoft co-founder Bill Gates."The goal is to have a reactor, flight system and lander ready to go by the end of 2026," the report says.S with so much of the cutting edge technology that eminates from the us Defence dept, NASA, and other Federal Agencies, the spinoffs for the commercial and public sector can be significant. (Think GPS , jet engines, LASERS, and KEVLAR products for starters).
Imagine if they succeeded in developing small portable reactors, what it would do for remote areas that struggle for Lack of power.
And it would be even better if they were fusion reactors rather than fission reactors, and then the long term effects of radiation are diminished greatly.
Would be ok for Uranium miners too!
Mick





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blacksheep
post Posted: Oct 8 2019, 10:11 AM
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Brazil to restart country’s only uranium mine
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Brazil’s mines and energy minister, Bento Albuquerque, said the country expects to resume production at the country’s only uranium mine before the end of the year and would open the sector to private companies.

The move to restart Caetité, halted since 2014, is President Jair Bolsonaro’s administration latest efforts to attract foreign commercial interest to an industry currently controlled by state-owned Industrias Nucleares do Brasil (INB).

It also fits Bolsonaro’s plan to boost the nation’s nuclear power by building new plants.

https://www.mining.com/brazil-to-restart-co...y-uranium-mine/



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The herd instinct among forecasters makes sheep look like independent thinkers. Edgar Fiedler

If the freedom of speech is taken away then dumb and silent we may be led, like sheep to the slaughter. George Washington
 
blacksheep
post Posted: Aug 3 2019, 01:30 PM
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Got to give the politicians something to do I guess - not much else on the agenda biggrin.gif

Nuclear power in Australia to be examined by multi-party parliamentary inquiry
QUOTE
Key points:
Angus Taylor has asked for the first inquiry into nuclear power in over a decade
The committee will consider waste management, transport and storage and security implications
The inquiry is expected to be finished by the end of the year

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-08-03/parl...tralia/11380666



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The herd instinct among forecasters makes sheep look like independent thinkers. Edgar Fiedler

If the freedom of speech is taken away then dumb and silent we may be led, like sheep to the slaughter. George Washington
 
blacksheep
post Posted: Jul 15 2019, 03:45 PM
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Uranium stocks all up on the US decision on Section 232 Petition

PDN up 10.71%

QUOTE
Trump’s decision pleases Australian uranium explorers
Now the initial section 232 investigation has been officially closed, US utilities have been freed up to re-engage with global uranium suppliers regarding potential contracts.

“This is fantastic news,” Mr Young said of Trump’s decision.

“It is the starting gun to the uranium revival that had been picking up steam before this section 232 investigation stopped everything in its tracks.”

Mr Young said Vimy has been negotiating with US utilities to finalise contracts that would underpin the development of the company’s Mulga Rock uranium project in Western Australia’s Great Victoria Desert – about 290km from Kalgoorlie.

Agreeing with Mr Young this morning was Mr Craib who said the decision would re-open buying activity from US utilities and, consequently, boost the uranium price.

“The outlook on improved uranium prices is positive,” Mr Craib said.

Boss wholly-owns the Honeymoon uranium project in South Australia, which Mr Craib says is positioned to participate in the early stages of the “new bull market”.

“President Trump’s announcement is timely as Boss advances its restart strategy and continues contractual discussions with US utilities, in concert with the underlying price of uranium.”

“Australia has been a long-term reliable and important supplier of uranium to the US and this decision will see this continue, underpinning project development in Australia as well as providing foreign investment.”

The US currently sources about 20% of its uranium needs from Australian producers.

https://smallcaps.com.au/australias-uranium...mport-measures/




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The herd instinct among forecasters makes sheep look like independent thinkers. Edgar Fiedler

If the freedom of speech is taken away then dumb and silent we may be led, like sheep to the slaughter. George Washington
 


blacksheep
post Posted: Mar 7 2019, 10:26 AM
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Kazatomprom uranium sales jump 65%
QUOTE
Kazakh uranium miner Kazatomprom expects further revenue growth this year on higher prices, it said on Wednesday after posting a 112 percent jump in 2018 adjusted net profit on higher sales volumes and prices.

London-listed Kazatomprom's net income adjusted for one-off transactions stood at 66.8 billion tenge (about $177 million), it said in a statement.

The world's biggest uranium miner said it expected 2019 consolidated revenue of 485-505 billion tenge, with higher prices offsetting lower physical sales.

For 2018, revenue rose 58 percent to 436.6 billion tenge while Kazatomprom's uranium <UX-U3O8-SPT> sales grew 65 percent in physical terms, it said.


read more - http://www.mining.com/web/kazatomprom-uranium-sales-jump-65/




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The herd instinct among forecasters makes sheep look like independent thinkers. Edgar Fiedler

If the freedom of speech is taken away then dumb and silent we may be led, like sheep to the slaughter. George Washington
 
blacksheep
post Posted: Jan 16 2019, 11:56 AM
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extract from - Commodities are the right story for 2019
QUOTE
The electrification trend we outlined as key to our investment thesis calls for a slew of battery metals - lithium, graphite, nickel and cobalt - along with tonnes of rare earths and copper. And we haven’t forgotten about how we’re going to get all that extra energy needed to make the shift from fossil fuels to electric vehicles: nuclear energy. For this we need uranium.


QUOTE
Uranium

Demand for uranium is directly tied to the need for nuclear power, which is growing exponentially especially in Asia due to the problems with air pollution from coal-fired power plants. The global demand for electricity is expected to increase by 76% by 2030, and while everyone knows about the electric vehicle revolution, what is not often talked about is how will all that extra power be generated. Much of it will have to come from nuclear.

According to nuclear consultant UxC, the global capacity for nuclear power is expected to grow by 27% between 2015 and 2030. That means a whole lot more uranium. UxC estimates annual uranium demand will spike by nearly 60%, from the current 190 million pounds of U3O8, the nuclear fuel, to 300 million pounds by 2030.

While the uranium price has been suppressed since 2011 when it took a major hit due to the nuclear accident cause by the tsunami in Japan, things are looking up. Uranium supply has been steadily dropping since 2016. That year total mined supply was around 163 million pounds, in 2017 it was 154 million, and in 2018 it was under 135 million. With current U3O8 demand at 192 million pounds, that leaves a shortfall of at least 57 million pounds.

Where will this extra uranium come from? While production at big Canadian uranium mines McArthur River and Rabbit Lake have been suspended due to low prices (at current prices, about three-quarters of uranium mines are uneconomic) exploration is going full tilt in the Athabasca Basin of Saskatchewan, the world’s richest source of uranium ore - with junior miners anticipating the return of higher prices. The long wait might finally be over: uranium was the best-performing metal of 2018.

http://aheadoftheherd.com/Newsletter/2019/...ry-for-2019.htm



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The herd instinct among forecasters makes sheep look like independent thinkers. Edgar Fiedler

If the freedom of speech is taken away then dumb and silent we may be led, like sheep to the slaughter. George Washington
 
blacksheep
post Posted: Dec 12 2018, 02:33 PM
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Uranium price: best performer of 2018 set for more gains

QUOTE
In a research note on Kazatomprom, BMO Capital Markets says the production discipline from top miners will break the trend of rising global uranium inventories following the Fukushima nuclear disaster in Japan in 2011 and prompt the first production deficit in more than a decade.

The net result is that uranium has entered a period of structural undersupply and we forecast the beginnings of inventory drawdown, which should continue to provide upward bias to the uranium price as we exit the year.

Inventories can be divided into two broad categories; strategic and excess inventories, with the definition of each somewhat subjective. If utilities begin to worry about the security of future supplies then excess inventories can quickly be reclassified as strategic, leading to a shift in purchasing strategies.

This tipping point is hard to predict, but could occur soon given the rapid decline in uranium output and the difficulty of securing future offtake agreements at current prices.


read more - http://www.mining.com/uranium-price-best-p...2018-set-gains/
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--------------------
The herd instinct among forecasters makes sheep look like independent thinkers. Edgar Fiedler

If the freedom of speech is taken away then dumb and silent we may be led, like sheep to the slaughter. George Washington
 
blacksheep
post Posted: Nov 19 2018, 02:44 PM
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France to cut nuclear energy reliance by 2035: minister
QUOTE
PARIS (Reuters) - France aims to reduce the share of electricity produced by nuclear reactors to 50 percent from 75 percent now by 2035, Environment Minister Francois de Rugy said on Sunday.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-france-n...r-idUSKCN1NN0OK



--------------------
The herd instinct among forecasters makes sheep look like independent thinkers. Edgar Fiedler

If the freedom of speech is taken away then dumb and silent we may be led, like sheep to the slaughter. George Washington
 
 


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