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MARKET OUTLOOK - Global & Local, Perspectives & General Market Feeling
blacksheep
post Posted: Oct 1 2019, 02:40 PM
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RBA cuts rate to new low of 0.75pc to head off rising unemployment
By business reporter Stephen Letts
Posted 9 minutes ago

QUOTE
The Reserve Bank has driven its official cash rate below 1 per cent for the first time as it battles to head off rising unemployment and stimulate a stalling economy.

It is the RBA's third cut since June and comes after jobs data showed the unemployment rate had risen to 5.3 per cent from 4.9 per cent at the start of the year.

The move came as little surprise, with markets pricing in an 80-per-cent chance of a cut following recent speeches from RBA governor Philip Lowe, highlighting concerns about not only low wages growth and unemployment but the impact rate cuts overseas could have in driving up the Australian dollar to uncompetitive levels.

The big banks passed on around 80 per cent of the 50 basis points of cuts in June and July, but are expected to hold back more this time.

More to come

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-10-01/rba-...ection=business



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The herd instinct among forecasters makes sheep look like independent thinkers. Edgar Fiedler

If the freedom of speech is taken away then dumb and silent we may be led, like sheep to the slaughter. George Washington
 
blacksheep
post Posted: Sep 30 2019, 09:14 PM
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Business
China Stocks See First Dip Before Golden Week Since 2011
By Elena Popina
September 30, 2019, 6:20 PM GMT+10
QUOTE
China’s stock market closed in the red ahead of the week-long National Day holiday for the first time since 2011. Equity traders were in no festive mood, after reports Friday that the White House is considering ways to limit U.S. investors’ exposure to China. The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index slid 0.9% Monday to its lowest in a month as investors seized the last chance to price in the possibility of worsening tensions with the U.S. during the holiday.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/201...ince-2011-chart?

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The herd instinct among forecasters makes sheep look like independent thinkers. Edgar Fiedler

If the freedom of speech is taken away then dumb and silent we may be led, like sheep to the slaughter. George Washington
 
joules mm1
post Posted: Sep 30 2019, 07:44 PM
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Kit Lowe‏ @kit_lowe 2h2 hours ago In preparation for a possible move to a negative rate environment traders can now enter orders at negative rates in the ASX24 trade book. #ausbiz




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. . . . . . . . everything has an art.....in the instance of the auction process, the only thing, needed to be listened to; price
 
blacksheep
post Posted: Sep 29 2019, 12:23 PM
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In Reply To: triage's post @ Sep 28 2019, 04:41 PM

Will it be a case of who has the most bullets, or who provides that one lethal shot? biggrin.gif
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The herd instinct among forecasters makes sheep look like independent thinkers. Edgar Fiedler

If the freedom of speech is taken away then dumb and silent we may be led, like sheep to the slaughter. George Washington
 
blacksheep
post Posted: Sep 29 2019, 12:19 PM
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In Reply To: early birds's post @ Sep 29 2019, 10:07 AM

Fake news no doubt Trump will trumpet biggrin.gif

Who knows what tomorrow will bring - never a dull moment with this man. He needs to have someone like Elon Musks twitter minder to monitor what comes out of his mouth before it goes public



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The herd instinct among forecasters makes sheep look like independent thinkers. Edgar Fiedler

If the freedom of speech is taken away then dumb and silent we may be led, like sheep to the slaughter. George Washington

Said 'Thanks' for this post: early birds  
 
early birds
post Posted: Sep 29 2019, 10:07 AM
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In Reply To: blacksheep's post @ Sep 28 2019, 03:40 PM

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/201...nd=premium-asia

A U.S. Treasury official said there are no current plans to stop Chinese companies from listing on U.S. exchanges, a day after a report that the Trump administration is discussing ways to limit U.S. investors’ portfolio flows into China.

“The administration is not contemplating blocking Chinese companies from listing shares on U.S. stock exchanges at this time,” Treasury spokeswoman Monica Crowley said in an emailed statement on Saturday.

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will market bounce back on this news on Monday?????????
most of marketers will be confused and angry with this saga i guess. thumbdown.gif




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triage
post Posted: Sep 28 2019, 04:41 PM
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In Reply To: blacksheep's post @ Sep 28 2019, 03:40 PM

Trumpy's negotiating tactics...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z_JOGmXpe5I



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"The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent." John Maynard Keynes

"The crisis takes a much longer time coming than you think, and then it happens much faster than you would have thought." Rudiger Dornbush

Mozart fixes everything and Messi is a dog

Said 'Thanks' for this post: blacksheep  
 
blacksheep
post Posted: Sep 28 2019, 03:40 PM
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In Reply To: blacksheep's post @ Sep 28 2019, 03:07 PM

Trump considers delisting Chinese firms from U.S. markets: sources
Alexandra Alper, David Lawder
QUOTE
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - President Donald Trump’s administration is considering delisting Chinese companies from U.S. stock exchanges, three sources briefed on the matter said on Friday, in what would be a radical escalation of U.S.-China trade tensions

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-trad...s-idUSKBN1WC1VP



--------------------
The herd instinct among forecasters makes sheep look like independent thinkers. Edgar Fiedler

If the freedom of speech is taken away then dumb and silent we may be led, like sheep to the slaughter. George Washington
 
blacksheep
post Posted: Sep 28 2019, 03:07 PM
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Posts: 6,791
Thanks: 2307


Markets
‘This Is Huge’ as China Threat Dents Markets: Wall Street Reacts
By Vildana Hajric and Katherine Greifeld
September 28, 2019, 3:05 AM GMT+10 Updated on September 28, 2019, 4:10 AM GMT+10
QUOTE
Trump administration weighs limits on U.S. fund flows to China
The S&P erases gains to trade lower as trade tensions heighten

Financial markets suffered another trade-related blow Friday on concern the Trump administration may move to limit U.S. investment in China, a move sure to raise tensions.

The S&P 500 turned lower after Bloomberg reported that officials are discussing ways to restrict portfolio flows into the world’s second-largest economy. The index bounced around in the minutes after the headlines before extending declines, and Chinese firms traded in the U.S. were under pressure as investors assessed a move that would have repercussions for billions of dollars in investment pegged to major indexes.

read more - https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/201...l-street-reacts
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--------------------
The herd instinct among forecasters makes sheep look like independent thinkers. Edgar Fiedler

If the freedom of speech is taken away then dumb and silent we may be led, like sheep to the slaughter. George Washington

Said 'Thanks' for this post: early birds  
 
nipper
post Posted: Sep 11 2019, 09:02 AM
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In Reply To: nipper's post @ Sep 3 2019, 01:54 PM

QUOTE
but GNI is negative

.... and the economy has been in a "no growth" stage for a while on a per capita basis, which is the one that counts if talking about individual perceptions (and pain).
QUOTE
What is completely ignored by each of these pundits is that for the very part of the economy that matters the most – Australian households – the economy has been in recession for seven long years.

Consider the below evidence....
https://www.macrobusiness.com.au/2019/09/au...year-recession/

Looking at GNI, GNE, real wages, HDI disposable income, share of the economic pie, almost all of the factors that affect individuals
QUOTE
Put simply, Australia’s economy has been in recession for seven years from the perspective of households.

This is remarkable given we are at the tail end of the global business cycle when the economy is supposed to be booming. This also makes Australia a “sitting duck” as the global cycle slides towards its end.




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"Every long-term security is nothing more than a claim on some expected future stream of cash that will be delivered into the hands of investors over time. For a given stream of expected future cash payments, the higher the price investors pay today for that stream of cash, the lower the long-term return they will achieve on their investment over time." - Dr John Hussman

"If I had even the slightest grasp upon my own faculties, I would not make essays, I would make decisions." ― Michel de Montaigne
 
 


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