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tombeet
Posted on: Jan 4 2019, 08:09 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

Hi Mark,
Please keep us updated with your predictions, we all appreciate your depth of knowledge as we go through the minefield of Trumponomics?

Cheers
Tom
  Forum: Investment Discussion

tombeet
Posted on: Jun 2 2018, 03:38 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

Hi Mark,
Have you got anymore updates for us missing your very informative updates on whats really happening behind all the froth and bubble, although thats seems to have slowed to a crawl now?

Tombeet.
  Forum: Investment Discussion

tombeet
Posted on: Oct 8 2017, 03:23 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

Hi Mark,
As you said quote "If this policy were to spread beyond the USA, as its trying desperately to do, if
we run forward 100 years more of this policy we will see less than 100 people
with likely 80% of all wealth and controlling everything."
We now have the ogilarchs running the USA, more control of the people because of terrorism, and maybe a new system of controlling population growth?
Looking forward to the next instalment.

Cheers
Tom.
  Forum: Investment Discussion

tombeet
Posted on: Sep 27 2017, 09:04 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

Mark,
You might need to check your pdf upload it has some errors unless its coded?

Cheers
Tom.
  Forum: Investment Discussion

tombeet
Posted on: Jan 30 2017, 10:37 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

Trump,
Redneck voters Increasing the demise of USA and the rise of China and if he gets it wrong will still not put the blame on him!.
  Forum: Off Topic Chat

tombeet
Posted on: Jan 2 2017, 03:00 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

Mark,
Looking forward to your next update, worked hard for my super nest egg hoping your information will enable me some protection from future impacts that seem to be on the horizon going forward.
All the best for the New Year.

Cheers,
Tom.
  Forum: Investment Discussion

tombeet
Posted on: Nov 21 2016, 02:56 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

kahuna1,

Looking forward to your next update of your predictions for the future with Mr Trump in charge.



Tom.
  Forum: Investment Discussion

tombeet
Posted on: Apr 12 2010, 03:04 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

Mistagear,
Do you think it depends on the outcome of the AXA deal possible cap raising and downgrade or maybe the bidding fro brit banks?
Tom.
  Forum: By Share Code

tombeet
Posted on: Dec 27 2009, 11:18 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

Mark,
Thank you for helping us understand some very turbulant times, your experience has benefited everyone that reads your huge detailed posts on this forum. Please continue your contributions so we can all improve our understanding from your vast wealth of knowledge so we can hopefully make the right decisions going forward.
Cheers Tom.
  Forum: Investment Discussion

tombeet
Posted on: Dec 26 2009, 08:48 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

Hey uncle Louie what do reckon time to buy?
Cheers Tom.
  Forum: By Share Code

tombeet
Posted on: Nov 10 2009, 02:48 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

Please do feed the Bears,
Quote;
Legend has it that the Roman generals, when making their triumphal marches, were followed by a slave whispering "Remember, you are mortal". The bears play that role for investors. Their arguments should be countered with reason, not ridicule. And the right to sell short should not be restricted arbitrarily. If regulators want to prevent future bubbles they need to let the bears roam as freely as possible.
Cheers
Tom.
  Forum: Investment Discussion

tombeet
Posted on: Sep 8 2009, 04:17 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

Nab bought 7% of Sun what is going on price is on the move upwards?
Tom.
p.s Got my nab shares arrived a day late for some reason.
  Forum: By Share Code

tombeet
Posted on: Sep 3 2009, 07:14 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

N.H
Good to see your back again keep the informative posts coming please.
Tom.
  Forum: Investment Discussion

tombeet
Posted on: Aug 31 2009, 04:08 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

Simon, I am with commsec no update for any new shares yet, who are you with, I thought the new shares are issued today ?
  Forum: By Share Code

tombeet
Posted on: Mar 11 2009, 01:37 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

Stu,
Thanks for the information not sure if cdo was the correct name of the dept problem.
Tom.
  Forum: Investment Discussion

tombeet
Posted on: Mar 7 2009, 12:36 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

Stu,
You have a very good knowledge of the aussie banks, what are your thoughts on the banks big cdo debts overseas. Are they real and why is there not much mentioned about this problem?
Cheers
Tom.
  Forum: Investment Discussion

tombeet
Posted on: Dec 13 2008, 05:11 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

In reply to: wolverine on Friday 12/12/08 06:24pm

Wolverine, Do you know if you have the hybrid shares not ordinary shares do you still get offered shares in the capital raising.
Cheers
Tom.
  Forum: By Share Code

tombeet
Posted on: Dec 4 2008, 02:44 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

In reply to: nohoper on Thursday 04/12/08 10:58am

Nohoper,
some really nice chart work looking at a good cross-section of companies keep up the good work.
Cheers Tom.
  Forum: Investment Discussion

tombeet
Posted on: Nov 11 2008, 02:24 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

In reply to: Brierley on Tuesday 11/11/08 01:30pm

Brierley,
Some more information quote:
AUSTRALIA'S big banks plan to launch a range of "guaranteed" accounts to defend their bulging deposits under the Federal Government's support scheme.

The major banks, particularly Commonwealth Bank, face big outflows of deposits when the three-year guarantee scheme takes effect on November 28.

An outflow would threaten the funding positions of big banks, which have become more dependent on deposits to fund their lending.

The importance of deposits has increased as offshore credit markets have tightened.

Under the Government's deposit scheme, only the first $1 million of a customer's money with an institution will be guaranteed free.

However, if a customer with, say, $10 million spreads the money equally across 10 institutions, all of those deposits will secure free protection.
Related Coverage

* Investors' $30bn dash to safe cashNEWS.com.au, 4 Oct 2008
* Forget a cut - interest rates may riseNEWS.com.au, 2 Oct 2008
* Navigating the home loan mazeNEWS.com.au, 14 Jul 2008
* Banks go after your depositsNEWS.com.au, 9 Apr 2008
* Park your money somewhere safeNEWS.com.au, 28 Jul 2008

The prospect of wealthy depositors spreading their money across the banking system has led to a swathe of smaller institutions taking market-leading positions in the term deposit market.

To counter the potential for a massive outflow of deposits later this month, the Commonwealth Bank confirmed it was looking at introducing special "guarantee-style accounts".

The accounts would be priced at a discount rate or include a special fee to cover the costs of guaranteeing deposits of more than $1 million.

"We are looking at offering a guarantee-style product for our customers," said CBA spokesman Bryan Fitzgerald.

According to online financial broker, FIIG Securities institutions such as Bank of Queensland, Elders Rural Bank and Bankwest are making an aggressive pitch for customers with more than a $1 million ready to deposit.

"If you've got over $1 million we think it only makes sense for you to spread your money across a number of financial providers to capitalise on the guarantee," said FIIG's head of research Justin McCarthy.

"Lots of banks need more deposits to fund their lending at the moment because some wholesale funding markets remain frozen."

Mr McCarthy said banks were likely to continue reducing their deposit rates as credit conditions eased in domestic and offshore money markets.

Credit conditions began to ease in short-term money markets in October, but the major banks say they are continuing to encounter difficulty raising funds for terms beyond 12 months.

Mr McCarthy said the uncertainty in long-term money markets had prevented banks passing on the full benefit of last week's official rate cut.

"There is still a large amount of uncertainty even though the cost of funding in some wholesale markets has come down," he said.

"If we get another month of relatively stable conditions, then we are likely to see the banks pass on a little bit more."

National Australia Bank's Ahmed Fahour said no local banks had been able to secure medium-term funding in the last month.

"In the wholesale market people only want to lend money for a month," he said.
  Forum: Investment Discussion

tombeet
Posted on: Nov 11 2008, 01:16 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

In reply to: db76 on Tuesday 11/11/08 09:56am

db76,
Read the circuit city story also read the comments does not sound like a very well run company, but the U.S.A is in big trouble are we going to follow them?.
Tom.
  Forum: Investment Discussion

tombeet
Posted on: Nov 4 2008, 12:33 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

In reply to: cso1 on Tuesday 04/11/08 01:37am

cso1,
Is it time to take some profit on the banks or wait for rate cut for another spike upwards.
Tom.
  Forum: Investment Discussion

tombeet
Posted on: Oct 12 2008, 06:23 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

In reply to: kahuna1 on Sunday 12/10/08 05:37pm

K1,
A masterful job of saving many S.S readers who listened to what you were saying many dollars and heartache, and now advising when you are buying and why. You are the Guru and well deserve the praise and thanks for the time and effort put in to make this forum such a success.
Cheers
Tom.
graduated.gif
  Forum: Investment Discussion

tombeet
Posted on: Mar 27 2008, 01:09 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

Interesting article from Egoli.

I have used the Credit Suisse index of global risk appetite in the past when the level of investor appetite shot through the roof into what Credit Suisse strategists would call "euphoria" - because every time that happens markets tend to start retreating soon. I have never used this index to predict the opposite. The reason for this is very simple: the last time it sank into the "panic zone" was in 2003, at the lowest point of the previous bear market (I had yet to become the editor of FNArena at that point in time).

So at first sight the Credit Suisse index seems to confirm what some market commentators are cautiously suggesting: the market has become too bearish, most sellers are done selling, this might be the point from where the only way is up, even though the recovery may not necessarily be swift and decisive.

However, if one studies the movements and patterns of the index more closely since its inception in the late eighties, it holds true that risk appetite tends to bounce from such extreme lows; often it has marked the transformation into a new bull market with the index ultimately reaching into extreme risk appetite, otherwise known as "euphoria". Often, but not always.

In January this year, for instance, the index sank deep into "panic" - it fell to its lowest point ever since January 1987- and true to history it subsequently recovered as did global share markets. Less than two months later, however, the index is again in the panic zone. There's no guarantee the current recovery won't be as temporary as the previous one which would bring us back at this point, or even lower, two months down the track.

Remarkable: Credit Suisse strategists made no prediction whatsoever this week about any sustained recovery in global markets or global risk appetite.

Nevertheless, here's another factor in favour of a more optimistic view: banking stocks have finally recovered from their ultra-low share price levels. As we have stated in the past, here at FNArena, global share markets need the problems in the banking sector to be solved before they can start functioning properly again. No doubt, part of the investment community has now taken the view that with the Federal Reserve bailing out and assisting US investment banks as well as it can, and with Europe likely to sing from the same song sheet soon, some major leaps have been made in normalising the international banking system.

There's no point in arguing about this: banking stocks globally have posted significant jumps in share price since last week. Australian banks have done exactly the same.

Equally important: two of Australia's leading stockbrokers have now turned more positive on the banks; GSJB Were on Friday and Deutsche Bank this morning. This can serve as an indication that investors are warming towards the sector again. Mind you, Deutsche Bank only went back to Neutral after five years of maintaining a negative view on the sector, but I'd still say we have a new trend: in combination with surging share prices one can only conclude that overall sentiment towards banks has become less bearish overall.

I already tried to explain in my Weekly Analysis on Monday (See "Resources Out, Banks In (For Now)") why banking stocks were likely to take the lead in the coming market bounce: they are the downtrodden losers who are simply offering the most upside potential in case of any relief from the persistent doom and gloom that has been hitting the sector since June last year. What I found interesting is that, in line with GSJBW's assessments last week, Deutsche Bank's revised forecasts for the sector paint a rather modest profit outlook for Australian banks.

The current stand out, on Deutsche's estimates, is National Australia Bank ((NAB)) - the only one with a Buy rating in the sector and the only one that is expected to achieve double digit EPS growth -once- in the next three financial years (the current year included). Deutsche Bank forecasts NAB will achieve 11.2% EPS growth in FY10 - it's the only double digit growth figure mentioned in the broker's spread sheet for all five major banks in Australia for the period FY08-FY10. As NAB comes with relatively high risks (UK exposure, rumoured higher risk takings last year) such an outlook hardly seems like an inspiration to push banking stocks much higher from here (though, admittedly, never say never and no doubt stranger things have happened before).

To be fair to those in favour of more bank stock buying in the next days and weeks, the overall trend for the sector is likely to remain closely linked to developments overseas. So if US investors all of sudden decide to go stir crazy about their JP Morgans and Bank of Americas the argument of further risks to FY09 growth figures, or even of single digit EPS growth projections, will matter not much. Well, not for the time being anyway.

Probably the most convincing argument I saw this week opposing the idea that the Australian share market is now looking towards a gradual recovery was from technical chartists at Barclays Capital who believe commodities in general are still in for more pain and losses in the weeks ahead (see our story today "Barclays Chartists Call Commodities Correction").

The chartists' view comes on top of other commentators and experts predicting global deleveraging still isn't finished, and it will hit commodities the most (as most leveraging ultimately ends with exposure to commodities). I found out this morning their view corresponds with what the team of technical chartists at Credit Suisse predicted one week ago already. I can assure everyone who has been piling up on resources stocks recently, the Credit Suisse report simply reads like a little book of horrors.

A few snap shots from the predictions made in the report: spot gold could well correct as low as US$743/oz in the weeks ahead, while silver needs to remain above US$16.22/15.00/oz or it would likely experience a pullback towards US$13.00, "and possibly as far as [US$]11.00/10.50". Aluminium on the other hand seems poised to test key support at US$2400/2370/t while the price of copper could well be written with a 6 in front instead of an 8 by next month. The next target for zinc is believed to be US$1800/t.

Credit Suisse strategists summarised it as follows on Wednesday: oil could be at US$80 per barrel soon in conjunction with gold at US$800 per ounce. Even if these projections may turn out to be too dire, the underlying message is clear: deleveraging has some way to go still and -all things being equal- it will take its toll from lofty prices across the commodities spectrum.

It's the most convincing argument I have come across against any notion that the current recovery in the Australian share market might be a sustainable one. You have all been warned.

This article was kindly supplied by FN Arena. As such, it may not represent the views of egoli or SHAW Stockbroking. egoli and SHAW Stockbroking do not warrant the accuracy of the article and take no responsibility for the views expressed in the article.

Rudi Filapek-Vandyck is managing editor of FN Arena.

  Forum: Investment Discussion

tombeet
Posted on: Mar 5 2008, 02:24 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

In reply to: K-oss on Wednesday 05/03/08 10:23am

Question on srn numbers regarding tlsca when entering in trade details do you include the I in the srn number?
Thanks in advance.
Tom.
  Forum: Off Topic Chat

tombeet
Posted on: Feb 29 2008, 02:36 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

In reply to: Garry on Friday 29/02/08 02:01pm

K, Many thanks for keeping us informed what's really happening on the markets , your insights
are keeping us ahead of the big game being played out now. Your time and effort is much aprecated by many on the forum.
Cheers Tom.
  Forum: Investment Discussion

tombeet
Posted on: Feb 28 2008, 04:35 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

In reply to: burratipi on Thursday 14/02/08 12:29pm

Burraptipi,
Got out at the very last spike in share price $1.97 luckily. I am still not game to get back in yet. Share price climbing off lows hope they can keep increasing profits in this risky market.
Cheers Tom.
  Forum: By Share Code

tombeet
Posted on: Nov 13 2007, 02:44 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

In reply to: EMD on Saturday 10/11/07 05:35pm

What are peoples thoughts on Ing Private Equity taking a 18% stake in the ANZ Bank as reported in the Australian.
Tom.
  Forum: By Share Code

tombeet
Posted on: May 10 2007, 03:23 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

In reply to: burratipi on Thursday 12/04/07 12:31pm

Burratipi, Great call on this stock, glad I bought in on your tip.Very positive share price on this capital raising, look forward to getting more shares at a discount.
Cheer Tom.
  Forum: By Share Code

tombeet
Posted on: Oct 18 2006, 04:54 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

In reply to: bluehavn on Saturday 30/09/06 09:18pm

Price has recovered after first dividend and holding up really well with rights issue at big discount to present share price. Rights issue will get second fully franked dividend as well.
Very glad I bought in thanks for information Bluehavn.
Cheers Tom.
  Forum: By Share Code

tombeet
Posted on: Jul 30 2006, 01:07 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

Price got hammered on friday, will they be able to maintain the dividends with the rising interest rates. Very mixed information in the profit report? Have been enjoying the very high yields is it time to get out.
Tombeet.
  Forum: By Share Code

tombeet
Posted on: Apr 30 2006, 04:04 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

In reply to: kahuna1 on Friday 28/04/06 09:48am

Kahuna1 , Waiting for your words of wisdom, theres a lot of high risk money in this market, it could turn very nasty if things go sour.
Cheers Tombeet.
  Forum: Investment Discussion

tombeet
Posted on: Mar 10 2006, 01:33 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

Kneehigh,
Volume and price on the rise nicely last couple of days wonder whats going on, Agm coming up soon?
Tom
  Forum: By Share Code

tombeet
Posted on: Aug 19 2005, 01:47 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

In reply to: belombre on Friday 19/08/05 01:26pm

Belombre thanks for the feedback much appreciated.
  Forum: By Share Code

tombeet
Posted on: Aug 19 2005, 01:00 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

In reply to: mme on Wednesday 17/08/05 01:53pm

What are peoples thought on the last drilling results the price has not moved much? but plenty of volume? Any information welcome.
Tom.
  Forum: By Share Code

tombeet
Posted on: Aug 10 2005, 05:00 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

In reply to: Baeda on Thursday 16/06/05 04:34pm

Some very positive drilling results released today, note the very high pressure quoted for mainland gas drilling. Should help move the price with further feedback.
Tom king.gif
  Forum: By Share Code

tombeet
Posted on: Jul 29 2005, 03:51 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

Share price has been drifting lower for some time now, is it getting into good value range dividend coming up and maybe capital return? Any thoughts on this one?
Cheers Tom.
  Forum: By Share Code

tombeet
Posted on: Jul 1 2005, 01:53 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

In reply to: gazebo on Friday 01/07/05 01:22pm

I have read two press releases on investor web pages all they talk about is 50% profit increase hardly any mention of chairman as if its not important? Do prices drop so far for this in the norm, especially with the futures earnings looking so positive?
Tom.
  Forum: By Share Code

tombeet
Posted on: Jul 1 2005, 01:18 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

In reply to: SAM172 on Friday 01/07/05 01:05pm

This is an example how big funds make money by market manipulation of prices. When a positive result comes out what else is driving such huge price movements? unsure.gif
  Forum: By Share Code

tombeet
Posted on: Jun 19 2005, 02:10 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

When a share price keep dropping with dividend looming soon, usually its a indication of problems ahead? The big boys getting out? Any other thoughts on this, or is this just the property cycle going down?. I am thinking of buying log term when are prices depressed.
Tom.
  Forum: By Share Code

tombeet
Posted on: May 13 2005, 12:41 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

In reply to: rozella on Friday 13/05/05 12:02pm

Hi Rozella, You have been timing the market to near perfection and still making good profits in difficult times. Have you still got Agl? are you waiting for the buy back ?
Tom.
  Forum: Investment Discussion

tombeet
Posted on: May 6 2005, 11:22 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

In reply to: Sam43 on Friday 04/03/05 11:26am

Trading halt? and sunland also trading halt any info on this one?
Tom.
  Forum: By Share Code

tombeet
Posted on: May 6 2005, 11:18 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

In reply to: hellraiser on Monday 02/05/05 05:04pm

Anyone know whats going on with the trading halt with sunland and city pacific?Related?
Tom. sadsmiley02.gif
  Forum: By Share Code

tombeet
Posted on: Apr 5 2005, 01:57 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

In reply to: tombeet on Wednesday 16/03/05 02:21pm

Sold down my holding of this stock and the price keeps falling any ideas when it will bottom and why it keeps dropping? It was a buy at these prices by brokers in the sunday times at the weekend.
  Forum: By Share Code

tombeet
Posted on: Mar 16 2005, 02:21 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

QUOTE (david_j_c @ Wednesday 16/03/05 02:08pm)

Seems to me a lot of money is moving out of investment companys to resource stocks boom, my portfolio has been dropping last few weeks, moving up a little today.I have no resource stocks which seem to be driving the market at the moment. Timbercorp is in the same boat. icon13.gif
  Forum: By Share Code

tombeet
Posted on: Feb 22 2005, 04:43 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

In reply to: Sam43 on Monday 21/02/05 10:02am

Positive results divvy + capital return share price keeps dropping? Whos selling and why no takeover?. When will it bottom!
Tom. thumbdown.gif
  Forum: By Share Code

tombeet
Posted on: Feb 16 2005, 11:36 AM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

In reply to: fisher1 on Wednesday 16/02/05 10:25am

Is it possible the big boys are trying to weed out all the small shareholder stop losses before the big day? Plenty of big orders on the buy side.
Tom ohmy.gif
  Forum: By Share Code

tombeet
Posted on: Feb 3 2005, 02:23 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

In reply to: subbii on Wednesday 02/02/05 04:50pm

Qad has released some more information but does not seem to be very well received share is dipping? Maybe news of no dividends for 12 months?
Tom.
  Forum: By Share Code

tombeet
Posted on: Feb 2 2005, 04:06 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

Share price dipped a bit, is this a chance to get some before they report next month? Or do the big funds know something?
Tom. hypocrite.gif
  Forum: By Share Code

tombeet
Posted on: Jan 31 2005, 04:20 PM


Group: Member
Posts: 51

Gee, I wish I would have paid more attention to the previous trends and bought some of these shares.
Tom devilsmiley.gif
  Forum: By Share Code


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