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MARKET OUTLOOK - Global & Local, Perspectives & General Market Feeling
mullokintyre
post Posted: Feb 28 2019, 02:23 AM
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In Reply To: blacksheep's post @ Feb 27 2019, 08:07 PM

And yet despite all this tension between two Nuclear ratbags, and Warren Buffet's prediction of the end of the world as we know it, what does gold do?
It falls. Along with silver and other PM's.
Doesn't make a lot of sense.
Mick



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sent from my Olivetti Typewriter.

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blacksheep
post Posted: Feb 27 2019, 08:07 PM
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In Reply To: triage's post @ Feb 27 2019, 03:29 PM

When you first view the video you swear its "comedy" - then you realise it's for real.

World markets already getting jitters. Oil going up

QUOTE
Rising geopolitical tensions rippled across markets Wednesday, sending stocks and futures lower from Asia to Europe as India clashed with Pakistan. The yen strengthened with Treasuries as traders awaited the second half of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s testimony to Congress.

The Stoxx Europe 600 index opened broadly lower following four sessions of gains. The downward move came after S&P futures fell, equities came off their highs in Japan and Hong Kong shares erased an advance. Pakistani fighter jets struck at targets inside Indian-controlled Kashmir, Pakistan’s foreign ministry said. While the news moved the yen higher and India’s rupee lower, volatility across currencies continued on its downward trend. Brent oil futures climbed toward $66 a barrel.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/201...nd=premium-asia

International flights being grounded or diverted
Attached File(s)
Attached File  D0ZeZvjXcAUYOqw.png ( 326.97K ) Number of downloads: 0

 




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The herd instinct among forecasters makes sheep look like independent thinkers. Edgar Fiedler

If the freedom of speech is taken away then dumb and silent we may be led, like sheep to the slaughter. George Washington
 
early birds
post Posted: Feb 27 2019, 07:25 PM
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In Reply To: triage's post @ Feb 27 2019, 03:29 PM

looks bit out steps ??

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/02/27/indian-air-...e-official.html

Pakistan shoots down Indian jets, carries out airstrikes in Kashmir


==============
will it trigger something even bigger ?? unsure.gif
market bulls better run for cover i guess!! devilsmiley.gif




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triage
post Posted: Feb 27 2019, 03:29 PM
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In Reply To: blacksheep's post @ Feb 27 2019, 02:22 PM

Meh, what could go wrong? ... it's not as if they are both prone to over-reacting ...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7JW_a-lz8sg

(looks like John Cleese's take on the haka)



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"The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent." John Maynard Keynes

"The crisis takes a much longer time coming than you think, and then it happens much faster than you would have thought." Rudiger Dornbush

Mozart fixes everything and Messi is a dog

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blacksheep
post Posted: Feb 27 2019, 02:22 PM
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In Reply To: mullokintyre's post @ Feb 26 2019, 08:20 PM

Let's hope this situation doesn't get out of control - Imran Khan to consult nuclear chiefs after India's first air strike on Pakistan in decades Posted 59 minutes ago
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-02-27/imra...trikes/10853290



--------------------
The herd instinct among forecasters makes sheep look like independent thinkers. Edgar Fiedler

If the freedom of speech is taken away then dumb and silent we may be led, like sheep to the slaughter. George Washington
 
mullokintyre
post Posted: Feb 26 2019, 08:20 PM
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In Reply To: blacksheep's post @ Feb 26 2019, 07:15 PM

Another useless prediction.
Anyone can make that one.
At least badhairday put a date on his predictions.

Mick



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blacksheep
post Posted: Feb 26 2019, 07:15 PM
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Berkshire Hathaway’s Oracle of Omaha Warren Buffett has had a vision! It’s a mega-catastrophe that will shake markets and civilisation ... but also bring opportunity
Jamie SeidelAP
Tuesday, 26 February 2019 1:23PM
extraxt
QUOTE
“A major catastrophe that will dwarf hurricanes Katrina and Michael will occur — perhaps tomorrow, perhaps many decades from now,” the chief executive wrote.

“The Big One may come from a traditional source, such as a hurricane or earthquake, or it may be a total surprise involving, say, a cyber attack having disastrous consequences beyond anything insurers now contemplate.”

https://thewest.com.au/business/berkshire-h...-ng-b881117934z

perhaps tomorrow, perhaps many decades from now, - define "decades" - 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10? "tomorrow" is more worrying
https://thewest.com.au/business/berkshire-h...-ng-b881117934z



--------------------
The herd instinct among forecasters makes sheep look like independent thinkers. Edgar Fiedler

If the freedom of speech is taken away then dumb and silent we may be led, like sheep to the slaughter. George Washington
 
triage
post Posted: Feb 26 2019, 06:28 PM
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In Reply To: mullokintyre's post @ Feb 26 2019, 10:20 AM

Mick - you might be interested in this recent article by Stephen Roach which looks at both the US and China. He is the first commentator I can recall that argues that the US may come out worse off than China from the current trade ruckus.

The article appears not to be behind the Australian Financial Review paywall but I've put it throught the Outline site just in case (from all I've heard Outline is not dodgey and does break through a number of the media paywalls).

https://www.outline.com/2TSN6t

Just a reminder that for pehaps well over a decade Stephen Roach was Morgan Stanley's China pointman and he is (or was) as well informed as any western analyst on what was happening in China. He was no doubt a full-on China bull, but he was a very knowledgeable one.



--------------------
"The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent." John Maynard Keynes

"The crisis takes a much longer time coming than you think, and then it happens much faster than you would have thought." Rudiger Dornbush

Mozart fixes everything and Messi is a dog

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mullokintyre
post Posted: Feb 26 2019, 10:20 AM
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Was talking to the US supplier of Aircraft Interiors last night.
He is miles behind schedule because of an increase in orders and having two of his best workers poached by a rival firm.
He had already given them pay rises prior to Christmas, but it seems it wasn't enough.
There are some industries in the US doing well.
Mick



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sent from my Olivetti Typewriter.
 
early birds
post Posted: Feb 26 2019, 07:58 AM
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In Reply To: blacksheep's post @ Feb 25 2019, 11:51 AM

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/02/25/investors-c...sappointed.html

Investors counting on a big rally when China and US trade talks conclude could be disappointed

A trade agreement between the U.S. and China could result in a "sell the news" market reaction, if the deal comes up short or does not remove existing tariffs, traders said.

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seems market fully priced in the really good outcome of this trade talks...........now it is over bought!
wait for the pull back to add if you are a bull, or short it if you are a bear!! imho




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