Bonds

[nipper]

the Australian 10-year government bond yield hit a record low on Wednesday of 1.48 per cent to briefly trade below the cash rate.

- so, does a negative yield curve matter, or mean anything, these days? Of course, the likelihood of RBA dropping cash rate next week is odds-on

[early birds]

US 10 years and 3months yield curve inverted last night---briefly.

but it is not a classic one, even it is acting as a warning shots...

 

people please focus on 10years/2yearsb curve. if this one inverted -----then RUN not WALK---for your lives IMHO

 

now US market is holding 200 sma. not so sure how long it can hold it through. see how it goes tonight!!

 

 

[early birds]

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/06/03/stocks-rise...s-in-check.html

 

US 10 years yield -----2.102%

US 2 years yield-------1.885%

 

but 200 sma didn't hold stock market

wondering what if 10 years----2 years yield curve inverted ???? that gonna be really ugly i guess!!

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

5

[nipper]

50-year Swiss bond yields have now risen to the salivating yield of minus .007% from minus 53 basis points

 

 

- and most yield curves no longer inverted (flat, but no longer doom-laden)

[nipper]

Bond markets are flashing red, triggering a sharp rise in yields, on growing fears that inflation could come roaring back and catch central banks by surprise, escalating to rapid rises in interest rates that the world is ill-prepared for.

 

Yields jumped on Wednesday, with the Australian government 10-year bond yield climbing almost 11 basis points , or 8 per cent, to almost 1.43 per cent. The spike followed a rally in the US Treasury market where yields hit 1.31 per cent. New Zealand 10-year yields are at 1.5 per cent, German bunds are at -0.35 percent.

 

....whilst the absolute numbers , in the 1's , 0's and even negatives, are exceedingly (unnaturally) low, it is the relative change, and speed or rate of any change, that causes the damage. These are 10 years , the benchmark!!!